首页|Using System Dynamics to investigate the Egyptian Economy

Using System Dynamics to investigate the Egyptian Economy

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Accelerating economic， technological， social and environmental change challenges with multiple feedback effects， long time delays， and non-linearly responses to management decisions set severe challenges for governments in order to design and manage such increasingly complex systems。 Effective design， management and learning in such environments require methods for understanding and managing dynamic complexity (3)。 This research takes a typical area of complexity and examines the role of commercial banks in the Egyptian economy。The main contribution， in this study is to use the system dynamics methodology to study the problem。 This is the first time that such a study has been attempted。 There has been an extensive data gathering exercise and so all data used will be real data。 Several linked models dealing with different sectors have been built and they will be used to examine different scenarios。 In doing so， it is hoped that a realistic strategy for helping the Egyptian economy may emerge。

Cherine Morsi、Mohamed Loutfi、Youmn El Hamaky

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School of Computing and Technology, University of Sunderland, SR60DD, Sunderland, United Kingdom

World Multiconference on Systemics, Cybernetics and Informatics(SCI 2003) vol.8: Applications of Informatics and Cybernetics in Science and Engineering

Orlando,FL(US)

7th World Multiconference on Systemics, Cybernetics and Informatics(SCI 2003) vol.8: Applications of Informatics and Cybernetics in Science and Engineering

378-383

2003