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Application of Gompertz Model to Prediction of Money & Quasi-money

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In general, Money & Quasi-money (M2) contains the most information and its growth rate is significant in the inflation model。 So it is one of the imponant issues facing at us at present about how to predict the M2's growth precisely and scientifically as to propose rationalization proposal to the managers of banks or companies in financial industry when they make important decisions。 This article comes up with a set of mathematics formulas based on seasonal-adjusted Gompertz curve, which simplify the procession of data and is easy to calculate。

fitting curveGompertz curvequantitative predictionseasonal-adjusted

FANG Lan

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School of Resources and Safety Engineering,Central South University,Changsha,410083,Hunan,China

杭州

The 5th International Annual Conference on WTO and Financial Engineering(第五届WTO与金融工程国际会议)论文集

123-127

2008