首页|TO BE OR NOT TO BE, IT'S A PROBLEM: THE FUTURE OF TD-SCDMA
TO BE OR NOT TO BE, IT'S A PROBLEM: THE FUTURE OF TD-SCDMA
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NETL
In order to fulfill its promise to offer 3G service during the Beijing Olympics， theChinese government is currently ordering thousands of TD-SCDMAbasestations to be built before the game despite the obvious resistance fromChina Mobile， which is the dominant wireless service provider and the solecarrier of TD-SCDMA in China。 As a homegrown technology， TD-SCDMAseems to have its best time now with strong government support。 Preliminaryresearch has shown that TD-SCDMA has become a weapon for everystakeholder in China's standards setting。 Government could use it to helpdomestic manufacturers as well as to bargain with foreign manufacturers forfavorable terms for the use of intellectual property rights。 Domesticmanufacturers could use it to advance their technological level。 Carriers coulduse it to negotiate better deals with manufacturers and the regulator。 Indeed，having its own standard will help China gain a better position in internationaltrade negotiations。 However， the author argues that， in the absence of thesupport from domestic carriers and multinational manufacturers， to be or notto be is still a problem for TD-SCDMA in the long run。 At its best， TD-SCDMAwill be similar to Japan's unique PDC (2G) standard， becoming acomplementary 3G standard in China。 However， with the 4G standardsgradually maturing， there is not much time left for TD-SCDMA。 In that sense，even in the short run， TD-SCDMA is very unlikely to succeed despite theChinese government's support。
TD-SCDMAChinaregulationpolicy
Chun Liu
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Department of Corporate StrategyChina Telecom, SichuanChina
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