ANALYSIS OF SAFETY STATE OF DANGEROUS GOODS TRANSPORT SYSTEM BASED ON CATASTROPHE THEORY

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外文摘要：On the basis of catastrophe theory predecessors studied, the paper uses catastrophe theory to talk over accidents causation models of dangerous goods transport, analyzes basic elements of accident and their interrelations, all factors are concluded to be within the dangerous goods transport accident system of "human-machine- environment". According to the exploration, the risk degree of dangerous goods transport system is divided into safety, critical, dangerous state, and establish model of safety decision-making and safety measures. Construct mathematical model of safety degree and safety state. Catastrophe theory can be used to reveal safety state of dangerous goods transport and identify key risk factors, to take measures to the key risk factors which can improve the safety situation. So as to enhance the system's safety status and avoid accidents of dangerous goods transport.

外文关键词：

catastrophe theorydangerous goods transport systemsafety statemathematical modeldangerous goods transport

作者：

YOU Pengfei、MOU Ruifang、ZHOU Dongmei

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作者单位：

College of Traffic & transportation, Southwest Jiaotong University

College of Traffic & transportation, Southwest Jiaotong University Chengdu University of technology

会议名称：

International conference on transportation engineering;ICTE 2009

会议地点：

Chengdu(CN);Chengdu(CN)

会议母体文献：

International conference on transportation engineering 2009

页码：

P.3260-3265

出版时间：

2009