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Journal of international trade & economic development
Taylor & Francis Ltd., Routledge
Journal of international trade & economic development

Taylor & Francis Ltd., Routledge

季刊

0963-8199

Journal of international trade & economic development/Journal Journal of international trade & economic developmentSSCIISSHP
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    Job prospects and labour mobility in China

    Huaxin Wang-LuOctasiano Miguel Valerio Mendoza
    991-1034页
    查看更多>>摘要：China's structural changes have brought new challenges to its regional employment structures， entailing labour redistribution。 Until now， Chinese migration research with a forward-looking perspective and on bilateral longitudinal determinants at the prefecture city level is almost non-existent。 This paper investigates the effects of job prospects on individual migration decisions across prefecture boundaries。 To this end， we created proxy variables for wage and employment prospects， introduced reference-dependence to a dynamic discrete choice model， and estimated corresponding empirical specifications with a unique quasi-panel of 66，427 individuals from 283 cities during 1997-2017。 To address multilateral resistance to migration resulting from the future attractiveness， we exploited various monadic and dyadic fixed effects。 Multilevel logit models and two-step system GMM estimation were adopted for the robustness check。 Our primary findings are that a 10% increase in the ratio of sector-based employment prospects in cities of destination to cities of origin raises the probability of migration by 1。281-2。185 percentage points， and the effects tend to be stronger when the scale of the ratio is larger。 Having a family migration network causes an increase of approximately 6 percentage points in migratory probabilities。 Further， labour migrants are more likely to be male， unmarried， younger， or more educated。 Our results suggest that the ongoing industrial reform in China influences labour mobility between cities， providing important insights for regional policymakers to prevent brain drain and to attract relevant talent。
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    The choice of technology and international trade

    Binglin GongHaiwen Zhou
    1035-1057页
    查看更多>>摘要：We study the impact of international trade on a firm's technology choice in an infinite-horizon model。 Banks engage in oligopolistic competition in providing capital for the manufacturing sector。 Manufacturing firms also engage in oligopolistic competition and choose technologies with different levels of fixed and marginal costs。 In the steady state， firms in a country with a larger market size or a more efficient financial sector choose more advanced technologies， and this country has a higher capital stock。 The opening of international trade leads manufacturing firms to choose more advanced technologies and the steady-state capital stock increases。
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    Murky trade waters: Regional tariff commitments and non-tariff measures in Africa

    Frederik StenderTim Vogel
    1058-1082页
    查看更多>>摘要：In several African regions， economic integration has successfully reduced tariff protection by freezing the opportunity to raise applied tariffs against fellow integration partners above those promised。 We examine whether these regional tariff commitments have come at the expense of adverse side-effects on the prevalence of non-tariff trade barriers。 Comparing the effects of applied tariff overhangs - the difference between MFN bound tariffs and effectively applied tariffs - towards all vis-a-vis African trading partners on SPS and TBT notifications of 35 African WTO members from 2001-2017， we find no general relationship between tariff overhangs and import regulation in our preferred model setting。 Larger tariff overhangs specific to intra-African trade relations， however， increase the probability of SPS measures and TBT and thereby contrast with the common assumption of the former functioning as a flexible policy valve。 We see the nature of Africa's formal trade relations as an explanation for these findings。 While regional tariff commitments have not only significantly moved African countries away from multilateral commitments， they have also sharply reduced their tariff policy space within Africa， thus seemingly leaving regulatory policy as one of the few legitimate options to level the playing field with the by far closest market competitors。
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    Friends or foe? The complementarity or substitutability of financial development and FDI, financial development, and trade openness on domestic investment

    Syed Nazrul IslamShariful Islam
    1083-1111页
    查看更多>>摘要：This paper examines the relationship between financial development and FDI and between financial development and trade openness in boosting domestic investment。 Initially， this paper examined this issue for panel data sample of 161 countries over 1995-2018。 Considering the issue of aggregation bias due to heterogeneous nature of countries in the sample， this complementarity or substitutability effect between financial development and FDI as well as financial development and trade openness have further been re-examined by using 129 developing country samples。 Using panel fixed effects (FE) and two-step system GMM estimation technique， the empirical results demonstrate the substitutability between financial development and FDI as well as a substitutability relationship between financial development and trade openness in driving domestic investment。 The results hold for both the samples and also in alternative measures of financial development and extended specifications。
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    Does GVC participation help industrial upgrading in developing countries? New evidence from panel data analysis

    Bangkit A. WiryawanHarry AgintaAl Muizzuddin Fazaalloh
    1112-1129页
    查看更多>>摘要：This paper assesses the impact of manufacturing global value chain (GVC) participation on industrial upgrading in developing countries。 After constructing a novel manufacturing GVC dataset for 37 countries from 2001 to 2017， we apply panel fixed-effect estimation to evaluate whether value chain integration could lead to industrial upgrading。 Our findings show that increasing participation in manufacturing GVC has led to structural change in the industrial sector。 In the baseline model， we find a percentage rise in manufacturing GVC corresponds to 0。35-0。43% increase in the share of high-tech sector。 Further analysis reveals that the upgrading channel is primarily derived from forward linkages， while backward linkages contribute in diminishing low-tech manufacturing activities。 Our findings are robust under alternative estimation techniques。 This linear transformation confirms earlier studies and thus highlights the critical role of GVC in promoting industrial upgrading in developing countries。
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    The alternative version of J-curve hypothesis testing: Evidence between the USA and Canada

    Serdar OnganHuseyin KaramelikliIsmet Gocer
    1130-1185页
    查看更多>>摘要：This study aims to eliminate an embedded data bias in testing the J-curve hypothesis in relevant literature。 In all previous trade models about the J-curve， the bilateral trade balance (BTB) ratio， as the dependent variable， is generated and used based on total exports data， i。e。 as total exports over total import。 However， total exports are the sum of domestic exports and re-exports， and some countries also re-export to their partners。 Furthermore， the dynamics and impacts of changing exchange rates on export volumes of domestically produced goods may differ from those on re-exported goods。 Therefore， in this study， in testing the asymmetric J-curve hypothesis， we， for the first time， re-define two new proposed forms of BTBs， namely， domestic-export-based J-curve hypothesis BTB and re-export-based J-curve hypothesis BTB， based on domestic exports and re-exports， respectively， for USA-Canada trade。 The main finding shows that the numbers of industries that support the asymmetric J-curve concerning these two forms of BTBs are entirely different。 While the J-curve is supported by domestic-export-based J-curve hypothesis BTB for 27 industries， it is supported by re-export-based J-curve hypothesis BTB for 38。 This support is 22 for the total-export-based J-curve hypothesis BTB。
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    Cleaner production regulation and firms' ratio of domestic value added in exports: evidence from China's cleaner production standards

    Yajun ZhuChuren SunHui JiangQing Qin...
    1186-1213页
    查看更多>>摘要：As a life-cycle environmental policy aiming at a more thorough control of pollution， what is the economic impact of cleaner production regulation on firms? We identify the impact of cleaner production regulation on firms' ratio of domestic value added in exports in a difference-in-differences framework with the quasi-natural experiment created by China's industry-level Cleaner Productions Standards based on the Chinese Customs Transaction-level Trade Statistics dataset and Chinese Annual Survey of Industrial Firms dataset between 2002 and 2013。 It shows that cleaner production regulation helps to improve firms' ratio of domestic value added in exports。 Meanwhile， firms' productivity， factor inputs market maturity and intermediate inputs market maturity positively promote while pollution intensity negatively moderates the impact of cleaner production regulation on firms' ratio of domestic value added in exports。 These results imply that the implementation of the cleaner production regulation policy and the international competitiveness of domestic firms do not conflict。
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    Does women empowerment foster export diversification? Evidence from a sample of developing countries

    Jean-Marc M. KiloloMamadou Mouminy BahJean-Luc Namegabe Mastaki
    1215-1248页
    查看更多>>摘要：This paper contributes to the literature on the drivers of export diversification by tackling an issue that has received scant attention in this literature， that is， the effect of women empowerment on export product diversification in developing countries。 The analysis focuses on a sample of 106 developing countries covering the period 2002-2018。 The results suggest that women's political empowerment and gender parity in secondary school enrolment have a positive effect on export diversification。 On the contrary， gender vulnerable employment inequality and gender wage inequality have a negative effect on diversification。 These findings suggest that policies targeting SDG 5 - gender parity and women empowerment - can potentially improve trade performance。
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    How significant is trade, macroeconomic management, and economic integration for foreign indebtedness in West African countries?

    Samson Adeniyi Aladejare
    1249-1270页
    查看更多>>摘要：The implications of trade， macroeconomic management， and economic integration for external debt have rarely been researched in public debt studies。 Hence， the novelty of this study's contribution to the literature hinges on identifying the significance of these factors in external debt accumulation for West African countries from 1981 to 2020。 Methodologically， the study applied pooled mean group analytical approach due to its significance in identifying short-term heterogeneous effects。 Empirical deductions from the study indicated that trade and economic integration would potentially trigger external debt accumulations in the short term， while the implication of macroeconomic management is neutral。 However， the long-term quantified relations of trade and economic integration on external debt demonstrate a diminishing effect， while macroeconomic management has weak significance。 The individual country short-term results indicated that trade enhanced the volume of external debt in almost all countries examined。 Also， macroeconomic management and economic integration were revealed to have moderate and insignificant associations with external debt accumulation。 Furthermore， this study affirmed that the role of financial sector uncertainty， political imbalance， insurgency， and disease outbreaks are accompanying exacerbating factors for foreign indebtedness in West African countries。
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    Natural resources and productivity growth in developing countries

    Paul Awoa AwoaHenri Atangana Ondoa
    1271-1290页
    查看更多>>摘要：Productivity growth has contributed significantly to boost living standards in many regions of the world。 Concerns about certain emerging nations' dependence on unprocessed natural resource exports have led some analysts to be sceptical about the possibilities for structural reform in resource-rich countries。 We hope to contribute to the research on the nexus between natural resources and growth by examining the impact of the dependence on resources on TFP growth in 91 developing countries from 1980 to 2019。 Findings demonstrate unequivocally that TFP growth is lower in resource-rich emerging nations。 The results are robust to several tests， including additional control variables and the partition of resource reliance between point-source and diffuse-source resources。 Furthermore， the establishment and maintenance of democratic and economic institutions enable resource-rich countries to avoid the curse。
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