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中国与世界经济(英文版)
中国与世界经济(英文版)

余永定

双月刊

1671-2234

010-85195785

100732

北京建国门内大街5号

中国与世界经济(英文版)/Journal China & World EconomySCI
正式出版
收录年代

    Long-term Effect of Export Expansion on Human Capital

    Jintao Fu
    1-34页
    查看更多>>摘要:This paper illustrates how trade liberalization during an individual's early life can affect long-term health and cognitive outcomes 15 years later(i.e.,in adolescence).Chinas accession to the World Trade Organization has brought significant economic benefits but has also given rise to some environmental concerns.Exploiting variations in each prefecture's exposure to trade shock and trade-induced pollution shock,this study constructed a shift-share instrument variable model.The trade shocks in early life improved health and cognitive outcomes significantly during adolescence while trade-induced pollution shock had the opposite effect,decreasing these two outcomes.These impacts were more pronounced among households with low economic status.Further investigation provided evidence for several underlying mechanisms,such as improved health and education resources and reduced SO2 emissions by firms.This study provides useful insights into how to evaluate the long-term effects of trade liberalization on human capital in terms of economic benefits and environmental costs in China.

    Intellectual Property Policy and County Economic Growth:A Quasi-natural Experiment from the Intellectual Property Powering County Project

    Changlin YuBing Shen
    35-67页
    查看更多>>摘要:As fundamental economic units,county economies play a crucial role in Chinas national economic system.However,it remains unclear whether intellectual property rights policies at the county level can promote economic growth.We used a quasi-natural experiment from the Intellectual Property Powering County Project("the Project")to measure their impact on county economic growth from 2009 to 2020,applying a multi-period difference-in-differences method.County economic growth indicators were measured using Enhanced Vegetation Index-calibrated nighttime light data from the Defense Meteorological Satellite Program and Visible Infrared Imaging Radiometer Suite.The findings demonstrated that the Project promoted economic growth significantly by incentivizing innovation,attracting high-tech and new-tech enterprises,and fostering brand creation.The Project also exhibited significant heterogeneity across districts and counties,along with spillover effects on economic growth in surrounding counties within approximately 80 kilometers.

    The Multifaceted Impact of Education on Fertility:Unpacking the"BASIC"Effects in China

    Yufei LiuChuanmin Zhao
    68-97页
    查看更多>>摘要:Research is increasingly showing that the impact of education on fertility can result in various and sometimes conflicting outcomes.Using data from the China General Social Survey,this study investigates this issue by exploring five channels(the five"BASIC"effects-base,ambition,spouse,income,and concept effects)through which education might influence different fertility behaviors.Using the number of Confucian temples in a region as an instrumental variable for education and employing the two-stage least squares estimation,the results indicate that after taking into account the BASIC effects,the impact of education on actual fertility behavior-both the number of children and the decision to have children-becomes insignificant.However,the negative influence of education on fertility intentions persists.This suggests that,although an increase in the level of education may reduce people's desire to have children,the actual fertility behavior can be influenced more by factors such as individual work status(the base effect)and personal expectations(the ambition effect).These findings provide new insights to assist China to optimize its population policy further,helping policymakers to understand better how education affects fertility choices and to formulate more precise population development strategies.

    Parenting Styles and Adolescent Misbehavior

    Guansheng WuYaqin Su
    98-127页
    查看更多>>摘要:Adolescence is a crucial period for character development and is particularly susceptible to parental influence due to the brain's malleability This paper examines whether parenting styles can have a significant impact on adolescent misbehaviors such as disobedience and aggression.The results show that,in comparison with neglectful parenting-characterized by low levels of demandingness and responsiveness-authoritative,authoritarian,and permissive parenting styles were associated with a significant reduction in behavioral issues among adolescents.The beneficial impact of authoritative parenting,marked by high demandingness and responsiveness,was particularly strong.In contrast,authoritarian parenting(high demandingness but low responsiveness)and permissive parenting(high responsiveness but low demandingness)were less effective in reducing behavioral issues.Our results remained robust after addressing potential issues of reverse causality,omitted variable bias,and selective sorting between teachers and students.The results also show that teachers and their interactions with parents played an important role in mitigating the adverse effects of neglectful parenting.Overall,our findings suggest that adopting parenting styles that strike a balance between discipline and care can strongly foster positive behaviors in adolescents.

    Does the China Railway Express Promote Equitable Regional Development?Evidence from Manufacturing Relocation

    An PanWenna ZhangYige DuXunpeng Shi...
    128-159页
    查看更多>>摘要:The China Railway Express(CRE)has improved regional economic integration with external markets and has reshaped regional development by encouraging the relocation of manufacturing activities("manufacturing transfer").We analyzed data from 284 prefecture-level cities in China to evaluate the impact of the CRE on regional manufacturing relocation,using a staggered difference-in-differences model with entropy balancing.We found that the launch of the CRE signihcantly stimulated the relocation of manufacturing industries to node cities-key hubs for transportation and logistics within the CRE network-especially in the central,western,and northeastern regions.Specifically,the CRE significantly increased manufacturing dynamism,firm profitability,openness,and foreign investment in node cities,which attracted more manufacturing industries to relocate in this area.Higher levels of infrastructure development moderated the CRE s effect.Further analysis showed that significant moderating effects of infrastructure development occurred only in the western region.Overall,our conclusions provide useful insights into how to promote equitable regional development through manufacturing development in China.

    The Belt and Road Initiative and Its Unjustified Discontents

    Pompeo Della PostaQian Liu
    160-186页
    查看更多>>摘要:We argue that Western media advance two main interpretations of the Belt and Road Initiative(BRI).The first suggests that the BRI is primarily motivated by China's geopolitical ambitions.The second contends that the initiative creates"debt traps"for developing countries,hiding the true size of the debt while aiming at the seizure of the infrastructure it builds.We challenge both claims by reviewing critically the existing literature on the BRI.We posit that rather than geopolitical,Chinas primary motivation has been to promote the development of its western provinces,transforming landlocked areas into land linked ones.Moreover,most of the existing literature neglects the fact that the need for infrastructure development across various continents is well documented by respective regional banks.The dominant"debt trap"narrative is also refuted by several scholars,together with the hypothesis of"asset seizure"and other related critiques.The article concludes that,if anything,geopolitical motivations(particularly tensions between the US and China)are at the root of the negative narrative surrounding the BRI rather than at the origin of the BRI itself.

    Neighborhood Awareness and Stock Return Synchronicity:Evidence from Satellite Nighttime Light Data

    Chen MengHaibing Shu
    187-216页
    查看更多>>摘要:This paper examines the impact on stock return synchronicity of information provided by people who neighbor firms.Neighboring people have inherent advantages in acquiring and interpreting information.We employed novel satellite nighttime light data as a proxy for information held by neighboring people.Our analyses confirmed that brighter nighttime light was related to greater and better-quality information production.Using a sample of 18,963 firm-year observations over the 2000-2013 period,we found that information from nearby people facilitated the incorporation offirm-specific information into stock prices,resulting in lower stock return synchronicity.The results were robust when using the slope as an instrumental variable and were supported by various sensitivity checks.The effect of nighttime light intensity was more pronounced for firms operating across multiple geographic regions or diverse industries,those situated near more parks and shopping malls,and those with fewer institutional investors and less media coverage.

    Cross-border E-commerce Reform and Entrepreneurial Activity in Urban Services-Evidence from Chinese Service Industry Enterprise Registration Data

    Xin GaoShuo Kong
    217-258页
    查看更多>>摘要:Cross-border e-commerce(CBEC)significantly stimulates foreign trade development and the flow of goods and services.This study using Chinese city-level data and a multiperiod difference-in-differences model based on CBEC comprehensive pilot zones,explores the impact of CBEC reform on urban service industry entrepreneurship.The results show that CBEC reform increased entrepreneurial activity and this is confirmed by robustness tests.The mechanisms driving this effect include the attraction of foreign direct investment,improved information infrastructure,and talent development.Regional analysis reveals stronger effects in central,western,and noncoastal cities,and industry analysis highlights public and consumer services.Spatial heterogeneity shows that the reform's impact diminished with distance from pilot zones,with potential inhibitory effects in remote areas.This study demonstrates how CBEC reform can stimulate entrepreneurship and foster economic growth.

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