Simulation and prediction of seasonally idle cropland in F County based on ANN-CA model
In order to protect arable land and improve its utilization rate,promote sustainable agricultural development,used the ANN-CA model to simulate and predict the seasonal idle arable land situation in F County. The simulation results showed that under the parameter combination of α=2,T=0.8,the simulation accuracy of various land use changes was high,and the simulated land use changes were closer to the actual land use situation in 2020. According to the recognition rules of seasonal idle farmland,it was simulated that the seasonal idle farmland phenomenon in F County would show an improvement trend in the future. It was predicted that in 2025,the seasonal idle farmland in F County would mainly be concentrated in the northeast and south,with an area of 25.8318 km2. In production,attention should be paid to the scientific and reasonable maintenance and utilization of arable land to ensure the yield and quality of crops and ensure the sustainable development of agriculture.
seasonally idle croplandANN-CA modelsimulation predictioncultivated land utilization rateland conservation