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Z市粮食产量影响因素分析

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以Z市2013-2023年粮食生产相关数据为基础,选择粮食生产农机总动力、粮食生产化肥施用量、平均气温等14项指标,运用灰色关联度分析和相关性分析法,分析影响研究区粮食产量的关键因子,分析粮食单产与部分粮食作物面积占粮食种植面积比例的相关性.结果表明,研究区粮食产量与粮食生产农机总动力、薯类面积占粮食面积比例、粮食播种面积关联度较大;与粮食生产化肥施用量、粮食播种面积相关性具有统计学意义(P<0.01),与玉米面积占粮食面积比例相关性具有统计学意义(P<0.05),与薯类面积占粮食面积比例相关性具有统计学意义(P<0.05);粮食单产与稻谷面积占粮食面积比例相关性具有统计学意义(P<0.01),与豆类面积占粮食面积比例相关性具有统计学意义(P<0.05).综合考虑化肥施用零增长、耕地面积有限等因素,增加稻谷和玉米种植面积占粮食面积的比例,同时适当降低薯类面积占粮食面积的比例利于粮食产量提高,有利于推动研究区粮食增产.
Analysis of factors influencing grain production in Z City
Based on the data related to grain production in Z City from 2013 to 2023,14 factors including the total power of agricultural machinery in grain production,the amount of chemical fertilizers used in grain production,and the average temperature were selected.The grey correlation method and correlation analysis method were used to analyze the key factors affecting the grain yield in the study area,and the correlation between grain yield and the proportion of some grain crops area to grain planting area was analyzed.The results indicated that there was a strong correlation between the grain yield in the study area and the total power of agricultural machinery in grain production,the proportion of potato area to grain area,and the sowing area of grain.There was a statistically significant correlation(P<0.01)between the amount of chemical fertilizer applied in grain production and the sowing area of grain,a statistically significant correlation(P<0.05)with the proportion of corn area to grain area,and a statistically significant correlation(P<0.05)with the proportion of potato area to grain area.The correlation between grain yield and the proportion of rice area to grain area was statistically significant(P<0.01),and the correlation with the proportion of legume area to grain area was statistically significant(P<0.05).Taking into account factors such as zero growth in fertilizer application and limited arable land area,increasing the proportion of rice and corn planting area to grain area,while reducing the proportion of potato planting area to grain area,was beneficial for improving grain yield and promoting grain yield increase in the research area.

correlation analysiscultivated land areagrain yieldfertilizationusage of plastic film

母少东、王方、吴权华、李政丽、张雪娇、孙静

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贵州省遵义市种植业发展服务中心,贵州遵义 563000

遵义市农业农村局,贵州遵义 563000

贵州省农业农村厅,贵州贵阳 550000

相关性分析 耕地面积 粮食产量 化肥施用 地膜使用量

贵州省中央财政粮油生产绿色高产高效项目

黔财农[2023]91号

2024

安徽农学通报
安徽省农学会

安徽农学通报

影响因子:0.275
ISSN:1007-7731
年,卷(期):2024.30(11)
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