日本对伊朗能源外交模式的转变过程与原因——基于关键节点与行动者互动的分析
The Evolution and Determinants of Japan's Transformation in Energy Diplomacy Towards Iran:An Analysis Based on Key Nodes and Actor Interactions
殷金琦 1王锁劳2
作者信息
- 1. 北京大学区域与国别研究院(北京100871)
- 2. 北京大学国际关系学院(北京100871)
- 折叠
摘要
日本对伊朗的能源外交经历了关系构建型、供给保障型、经济导向型、政治导向型四种模式的转变.结合历史制度主义理论来看,这种模式转变与关键节点和行动者互动有关.伊核问题的爆发、伊核协议的签署和2018年美国重启制裁是关键节点,深刻改变着行动者所处的国际环境,推动能源外交模式转变的发生.行动者主要包括以国家为单位的外部行动者和以政府、利益集团为核心的内部行动者,内外部行动者的互动则是模式转变的主要动力.回顾日本对伊朗能源外交模式的转变过程,日本利用自身优势不断增强自身政治影响力,但随着日美同盟的加强和全球能源格局的变迁,日本对伊朗能源外交未来将进一步受制于美国.
Abstract
Japan's energy diplomacy towards Iran has undergone four modes of transformation:relationship-building,supply assurance,economic orientation,and political orientation.Combining the historical institutionalism theory,these shifts in modes are attributed to changes in critical junctures and interactions among actors.The outbreak of the Iranian nuclear issue,the signing of the Iranian nuclear deal,and the U.S.re-imposition of sanctions in 2018 are key nodes that profoundly alter the international environment in which actors operate,driving the transformation of energy diplomacy models.The actors mainly include external actors based on national units and internal actors centered on governments and interest groups.The interaction between internal and external actors is the main driving force for the transformation of the model.Reflecting on the transformation process of Japan's energy diplomacy model towards Iran,Japan has been leveraging its own advantages to continuously enhance its political influence.However,with the strengthening of the Japan-U.S.alliance and changes in the global energy landscape,Japan's future energy diplomacy towards Iran will be further constrained by the U.S.
关键词
日本—伊朗关系/能源外交模式/关键节点/行动者互动Key words
Japan-Iran Relations/Energy Diplomacy Mode/Critical Junctures/Actor Interaction引用本文复制引用
出版年
2024
NETL
NSTL
万方数据