Over the past century,there have been plenty of discussions of the strategic decision by the Ottoman Empire and its collapse at the end of the war.Recently,scholars have tried to use interdisciplinary methodologies and the renewed materials to interpret from the plural perspectives how the ruling elite of the Empire made such a fatal decision to enter the WWI which resulted in its final demise.They aim to examine the key elements in their final decision-making and the consequences of the fall of the Ottoman Empire and its negative impacts on the Republic of Turkey which stood on the ruins of the old regime.The controversy centers on the key factors that convinced the Ottoman decision-makers that an alliance with Germany was the most likely way to ensure that the empire would not be dismembered by Tsarist Russia,and whether the Ottoman Empire could have avoided joining the German-Austrian camp and thus saved itself from the war if it had taken"neutrality"as the bottom line and relentlessly pursued diplomacy to reach some kind of a compromise with the Allied Powers.In view of this,this paper will combine the latest research results in the academic world,apply Clausewitz's relevant strategic decision-making theories,and carry out a positivist analysis of the psychological activities of Ottoman decision-makers in the process of strategic judgment,in an attempt to analyze the root causes of the miscalculation of Ottoman strategic decision-making from a new perspective.
关键词
奥斯曼帝国/一战/战略决策/克劳塞维茨
Key words
Ottoman Empire/WWI/Strategic Decision Making/Carl von Clausewitz