首页|未确知测度理论在盾构下穿既有隧道安全风险评价中的应用

未确知测度理论在盾构下穿既有隧道安全风险评价中的应用

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盾构下穿既有隧道工程施工通常存在较大风险,为了对风险等级做出准确有效的评价,提出了基于未确知测度理论的盾构下穿既有隧道安全风险评价模型.首先,通过对相关规范和现有文献的研究,并结合盾构下穿隧道施工的特点,构建了盾构下穿既有隧道安全风险评价指标体系,包括盾构掘进参数、新建隧道条件、既有隧道条件、地质条件和施工管理条件5个一级指标,以及掘进速度、掘进推力、注浆压力等19个二级指标;其次,将综合安全风险划分为5个等级,并明确了各指标的等级划分标准;然后基于熵权-未确知测度理论构建盾构下穿既有隧道安全风险评价模型,采用熵权法确定指标权重,根据未确知测度理论构建各指标的单指标未确知测度函数,将各指标数据值代入单指标未确知测度函数中得到单指标测度评价矩阵,结合指标权重和单指标测度评价矩阵计算得到多指标测度评价向量,依照置信度准则确定安全风险等级;最后,将提出的模型应用于实际盾构下穿既有隧道工程中,对其进行安全风险等级评价.结果表明,模型评价结果与实际风险等级一致,并通过与模糊层析分析法对比验证了所提模型应用于工程实践的有效性,研究结果可为实际施工安全管理提供决策支持.
Application of unascertained measure theory in safety risk assessment of shield tunneling
The construction of shield tunneling under existing tunnels usually involves large risks.To accurately and effectively evaluate the risk level,this paper proposes a safety risk assessment model for shield tunneling through existing tunnels based on the unascertained measure theory.Firstly,this paper established the safety risk assessment index system of shield tunneling.The establishment of the index system is based on the research of relevant specifications and existing documents and combined with the characteristics of shield tunneling under existing tunnels.The index system includes five first-level indicators of shield tunneling parameters,new tunnel conditions,existing tunnel conditions,geological conditions and construction management conditions,as well as nineteen second-level indicators such as tunneling speed,tunneling thrust,and grouting pressure.Secondly,the comprehensive safety risk is divided into five levels,and the classification criteria for each indicator are clarified.Then,based on the entropy weight unascertained measure theory,a safety risk assessment model for shield tunneling through existing tunnels is constructed.The entropy weight method is used to determine the indicator weight.According to the unascertained measurement theory,it constructs the single indicator unascertained measure function for each indicator.The data values of each indicator were substituted into the single indicator unascertained measure function to obtain a single indicator measure evaluation matrix.Combining the index weight and the single indicator measure evaluation matrix,the multi-indicator measure evaluation vector is calculated,and the safety risk level is determined according to the confidence criterion.Finally,applied the proposed model to an actual shield tunneling project to evaluate its safety risk level.The results show that the evaluation results of the model are consistent with the actual risk level.And verified the effectiveness of this model by comparing it with the fuzzy analytic hierarchy process.The research results can provide decision-making support for actual construction safety management.

safety engineeringshield tunnelundercrossing constructionrisk assessmententropy weight methodunascertained measure theory

顾伟红、毛梦薇、赵雪

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兰州交通大学土木工程学院,兰州 730070

安全工程 盾构法隧道 下穿施工 风险评价 熵权法 未确知测度理论

国家自然科学基金国家自然科学基金

5166803772261026

2024

安全与环境学报
北京理工大学 中国环境科学学会 中国职业安全健康协会

安全与环境学报

CSTPCD北大核心
影响因子:0.943
ISSN:1009-6094
年,卷(期):2024.24(2)
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