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基于改进变权物元可拓模型的地铁车站火灾安全韧性评价

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为进一步提升地铁车站火灾安全管理水平,基于韧性理论,提出了地铁车站火灾安全韧性概念。以随着火灾发展阶段依次涌现的韧性吸收能力、抵抗能力、恢复能力和适应能力表征为核心,从"人、机、环、管"4个方面识别影响因素,建立地铁车站火灾安全韧性评价指标体系;运用变权理论对评价指标进行赋权,将贴近度原则和物元可拓模型相结合确定地铁车站火灾安全韧性等级,构建基于改进变权物元可拓的地铁车站火灾安全韧性评价模型,解决了以往韧性评价过程中未考虑模糊性和随机性的问题;最后应用该模型对青岛某地铁车站进行实例分析,结果表明,该地铁车站火灾安全韧性等级为Ⅱ级"较高韧性",但略有偏向Ⅲ级"一般韧性"的趋势,与实际情况基本相符,并通过对比改进模型与传统物元可拓模型的评价结果,验证了改进模型的有效性。所提出的模型可以为提升地铁运营管理水平提供一定的参考依据。
Evaluation of fire safety resilience of metro station based on improved matter-element extension model with variable weight
To further improve the level of fire safety management in metro stations,the concept of fire safety resilience of metro stations was proposed based on the theory of resilience.First,based on the framework of evaluating the fire safety resilience of metro stations,we established a metro station fire safety resilience evaluation index system containing 4 primary indicators and 28 secondary indicators from four aspects:human,machine,environment,and management.It takes the emergence of resilience absorption ability,resistance ability,recovery ability,and adaptation ability in the fire development stage as the core.Second,we used the variable weight theory to assign weights to the evaluation indexes and combined the closeness principle and the traditional matter-element extension model to determine the fire safety resilience level of metro stations.Then we built a fire safety resilience evaluation model based on an improved matter-element extension model with variable weight for metro stations,which solves the problem of not considering ambiguity and randomness in the previous resilience evaluation process.Third,the model was applied to analyze a metro station in Qingdao.The results show that the fire safety resilience level of the metro station is level Ⅱ,higher resilience,with a weak tendency to level 111,general resilience.This finding is almost consistent with the actual situation.And the resilience improvement measures were proposed in response to the evaluation results,and the effectiveness of the improved model was verified by comparing the evaluation results of the improved model with the traditional matter-element extension model.As a result,the proposed improved matter-element extension model with variable weight can effectively reduce the influence of subjective factors,and avoid the deficiency of the maximum affiliation criterion neglecting the ambiguity of the object when determining the evaluation level.Thus it can improve the accuracy of the evaluation results,and provide a certain reference basis for improving the metro operation management level.

safety engineeringmetro stationevaluation of fire safety resiliencematter-element extension modelvariable weight theorycloseness principle

汤青慧、刘硕、刘文杰

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青岛理工大学管理工程学院,山东青岛 266520

山东省高校智慧城市建设管理研究中心,山东青岛 266520

青岛地铁集团有限公司,山东青岛 266045

安全工程 地铁车站 火灾安全韧性评价 物元可拓模型 变权理论 贴近度原则

国家自然科学基金青年科学基金项目

41702320

2024

安全与环境学报
北京理工大学 中国环境科学学会 中国职业安全健康协会

安全与环境学报

CSTPCD北大核心
影响因子:0.943
ISSN:1009-6094
年,卷(期):2024.24(4)
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