To analyze the application value and application influencing factors of blockchain technology in the safety supervision of road transport of dangerous goods,the three-party evolutionary game theory was introduced to construct a three-party evolutionary game model composed of the supervisor,the carrier,and the shipper.First,the game relationship among stakeholders was discussed in the transportation of dangerous goods,model assumptions were proposed,and the payoff matrix and replication dynamic equations were determined.Then,the equilibrium point and its stable conditions in the evolutionary game system were analyzed.Finally,MATLAB was used to analyze the dynamic evolution of the strategy choices of various stakeholders and to explore the influence of relevant variables in the tripartite evolutionary game on the choice of tripartite evolution strategies.The results show that the evolutionary stability strategy of the three-party game subject is affected by various factors such as the cost of blockchain,the degree of compliance supervision and compliance improvement that blockchain can bring,subsidy coefficient,liability avoidance,and additional degree.The application cost of the blockchain is negatively correlated with the strategic choice of each participant;the application of blockchain technology can improve the regulator's compliance supervision,the carrier's and consignor's tendency to comply with the regulations,and the regulator's subsidy for the application of the blockchain.The degree is positively correlated with the strategic choices of all parties;the liability avoidance coefficient of the regulator is negatively correlated with the strategic choices,and the additional liability coefficients of the carrier and shipper are positively correlated with the strategic choices.The above results can provide a decision-making basis for all parties in the dangerous goods transportation supervision system to choose whether to apply blockchain technology and can also provide a reference for the specific application of blockchain technology in the transportation of dangerous goods.
关键词
安全社会工程/危险货物运输/安全监管/区块链/三方演化博弈
Key words
safety social engineering/dangerous goods transportation/safety supervision/blockchain/tripartite evolutionary game