Study on the synergistic effect of agricultural green development in Jiangxi Province
This paper is to explore the path to improve the level and provide a theoretical basis for agricultural green development in Jiangxi Province.The article constructs the synergistic development relationship among three dimensions of agricultural resources,ecological environment,and social economy,and measures and evaluates the level of agricultural green development in Jiangxi Province from 2008 to 2020.Then the paper designs the impacts of 7 scenario models under 5 strategies of agricultural production methods,agricultural science and technology innovation,economic development,consumption habits,and policy support on the agricultural green development system in Jiangxi Province from 2021 to 2030 through the system dynamics model.The results show that:the level of agricultural green development in Jiangxi Province decreases and then increases from 2008 to 2020,and its overall trend is positive,indicating that the zero-growth action on fertilizers and pesticides is effective.Under the current scenario,the level of agricultural green development in Jiangxi Province can be further improved from 2021 to 2030.On this basis,reducing the replanting index of arable land,increasing the contribution of agricultural science and technology,improving the utilization rate of chemical fertilizers,accelerating economic development,adjusting the meat consumption structure of residents and multi-factor collaborative development model can all effectively promote agricultural green development in Jiangxi Province.Under the independent effect of each element,the promotion effect of reducing the cropland replanting index and increasing the fertilizer utilization rate on the level of agricultural green development in Jiangxi Province is more obvious.The synergistic development of multiple factors has the greatest effect on agricultural green development in Jiangxi Province compared with the development of single factors.The level of agricultural green development in Jiangxi Province is developing in an orderly direction,and a regional multi-factor synergistic development mechanism should be built to achieve an all-round greening of the whole process of agricultural production,ecology,and life in the future.
basic disciplines of environmental science and technologyagricultural green developmentsystem dynamics modelsynergistic effectJiangxi Province
万方数据
维普
