首页|空中航路网络级联失效缓解方法研究

空中航路网络级联失效缓解方法研究

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航路级联失效对空中航路网络的承载能力、运输安全及运行效率具有严重负面影响,可能造成巨大的经济损失并引发一系列社会问题。构建了空中航路级联失效传播网络结构,根据航段流量与容量的时变关系定义航段状态,在此基础上,提出了基于辐射距离的流量分配方法,研究不同分配方法下的网络结构、空域容量、交通需求和运行效率等网络性能指标,以确定航路网络级联失效的最佳缓解方法。以华东空管局所辖区域的部分空域为例,对所提方法进行了验证,结果表明,所提基于辐射距离的度分配法和剩余容量分配法相较于传统度分配法和剩余容量分配法,对网络正常航段数量、可用容量比率、交通需求比率和网络效率产生的影响更小,可以有效缓解级联失效对华东地区航路网络的影响。
Investigation of techniques to mitigate cascade failures in air route networks
The cascade failure of air routes significantly impairs the carrying capacity,traffic safety,and operational efficiency of air route networks,potentially leading to substantial economic losses and a range of social issues.This paper focuses on constructing a cascade failure propagation network structure for air routes.To analyze the dynamics of failures in air route networks,three states of air routes are defined based on the time-varying relationship between traffic and capacity:normal,unstable,and failure.Building on this framework,a novel radial distance-based traffic allocation method is introduced.This method utilizes the failed segment as the center and a specific radial distance as the radius to select segments within the area for traffic allocation.A comparative analysis with traditional degree allocation and residual capacity allocation methods is conducted to evaluate network performance metrics such as network structure,airspace capacity,traffic demand,and operational efficiency under different allocation methods.The goal is to identify the optimal approach for mitigating cascading failure within air route networks.To illustrate the impact of cascade failure propagation on operational safety and efficiency within the East China Air Traffic Control jurisdiction,a specific portion of airspace is selected as a case study.The analysis begins by examining the effects of cascade failure propagation on the network.Subsequently,through simulation,optimal allocation distances for each segment within the network are determined.Following that,the reliability of the proposed method is affirmed through a comparison of simulation results across different time periods.Ultimately,the effectiveness of the proposed method in mitigating cascade failures is demonstrated through a comprehensive comparison and analysis with traditional methods.The results demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed method in mitigating the impact of cascading failures within the East China route network.The proposed distance-degree allocation and distance-capacity allocation methods outperform the traditional degree allocation and residual capacity allocation methods,resulting in improved network performance.Specifically,the proposed methods yield a 12.51%and 16.99%enhancement compared to the traditional approaches,respectively.

safety engineeringcascading failureflow allocationair route networkmitigation methodsnetwork efficiency

陈丹、钟玉刚、汤程、羊玢

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南京工程学院汽车与轨道交通学院,南京 211167

安全工程 级联失效 流量分配 航路网络 缓解方法 网络效率

国家自然科学基金项目国家自然科学基金项目江苏省自然科学基金项目江苏省自然科学基金项目

6190318512372079BK20191014BK20201470

2024

安全与环境学报
北京理工大学 中国环境科学学会 中国职业安全健康协会

安全与环境学报

CSTPCD北大核心
影响因子:0.943
ISSN:1009-6094
年,卷(期):2024.24(9)