为保障高校体育场馆运营的安全性，将韧性理论引入高校体育场馆安全管理中。针对高校体育场馆运营安全韧性评估过程中存在不确定性与模糊性的特点，引入可变模糊云模型。首先，建立高校体育场馆运营安全韧性评价指标体系;其次，采用博弈论方法将区间层次分析法(Interval Analytic Hierarchy Process，IAHP)与 CRITIC(Criteria Importance Through Intercriteria Correlation)法组合赋权得到更为合理的组合权重。并将该模型引用到兰州市各高校体育场馆的具体工程案例中，确定其综合评价韧性等级为Ⅲ级，根据云相似度衡量评价结果的模糊性与随机性。研究表明，与其他预警方法相比，该模型的计算结果可靠，该方法不仅实现了安全评价结果可视化，还能为进一步优化高校体育场馆运营安全韧性提供参考。
Research on safety resilience assessment of college sports venue operations:a case study of Lanzhou
To ensure the safe operation of college sports venues,resilience theory has been integrated into their safety management practices.To address the uncertainty and fuzziness inherent in evaluating the safety resilience of these venues,a variable fuzzy cloud model has been introduced.This approach enhances the assessment process by better capturing the complexities involved in managing safety risks.First,an evaluation index system for the safety resilience of college sports venue operations is established.Second,the Interval Analytic Hierarchy Process(IAHP)is utilized to calculate the subjective weights of the indices,effectively addressing the uncertainties arising from expert judgments.The Criteria Importance Through Intercriteria Correlation(CRITIC)method is employed to quantitatively analyze the evaluation indices,thereby reducing any subjectivity associated with expert scoring.Subsequently,a weighted combination approach based on game theory is utilized to integrate the IAHP and CRITIC methods.This approach addresses the potential bias introduced by relying on a single weighting method and yields a more balanced and reasonable set of combined weights.The model is applied to specific engineering cases of sports venues at colleges and universities in Lanzhou,resulting in a comprehensive evaluation that the resilience level as Grade Ⅲ.Finally,the fuzziness and randomness of the evaluation results are analyzed through two dimensions:distance similarity and shape similarity.Building on the original evaluation,potential changes to the safety levels of college sports venues are examined,and strategies for enhancing resilience levels are proposed.The findings indicate that the system demonstrates strong applicability and can effectively assess the system resilience of operational safety within college sports venues.Enhancing the resilience and adaptability of college sports venues is an effective strategy for improving their safety response capabilities.When compared to both fuzzy comprehensive evaluation and Technique for Order Preference by Similarity to Ideal Solution(TOPSIS)methods,the calculation results of this model demonstrate greater reliability.This method not only facilitates the visualization of safety evaluation results but also serves as a valuable reference for further optimizing the safety resilience of college sports venues.
safety engineeringcollege sports venuesresilience assessmentoperation phasevariable fuzzy set theorycloud similarity
万方数据
维普
