首页|面向流域性洪灾的应急物资调度模型

面向流域性洪灾的应急物资调度模型

扫码查看
海河"23·7"流域性特大洪灾凸显出洪灾应急工作的重要性.构建面向流域性洪灾的调度模型,以提供合理的洪灾应急物资调度方案.首先,深入分析流域性洪灾特征,以确定流域性洪灾多物资种类需求、多供需点的模型框架;之后,基于洪灾救援的时效性需求引入时间窗函数,同时结合灾区物资满足率与救援队伍能力特征,构建考虑成本且兼顾灾民心理及灾区任务匹配度的多目标调度模型;最后,采用多目标遗传算法对模型算例进行求解.案例证明所构建的模型可满足流域性洪灾应急调度的需求,在物资储量不足的情况下按该模型统筹调度,加权后的物资总体满足率可达74.63%,能在多目标问题中求得最优解.
Emergency material scheduling model for flood disaster management in river basins
The"23.7"super flood in the Haihe River Basin underscores the critical importance of flood emergency response efforts.In this paper,we develop a scheduling model for basin floods to create an effective scheme for the allocation of emergency materials,which is then solved using an algorithm.First,we conduct an in-depth analysis of the flood characteristics within the basin to identify the demand patterns for various types of emergency materials.This analysis helps clarify the focus of the material scheduling optimization and establishes a framework for a model that incorporates multiple supply and demand points.Next,we introduce a time window function that accounts for the urgent timing requirements of flood control and emergency rescue operations,based on the identified needs for effective response.Additionally,we construct a psychological perception function based on the material satisfaction rates in the disaster area.We also determine a task differentiation function that reflects the capabilities of the rescue team.These elements culminate in the establishment of a multi-objective scheduling model grounded in cost functions.Finally,we construct a new simulation case based on existing disaster scenarios and utilize a multi-objective genetic algorithm to solve the model.The results demonstrate that the model developed in this study effectively identifies optimal solutions for multi-objective trade-offs,thereby better addressing the needs of emergency dispatching during basin floods.In the scenario presented in this article,when material shortages arise,the model coordinates and optimizes dispatching accordingly.As a result,the satisfaction rate for all types of materials at each disaster site exceeds 66.6%.The overall satisfaction rate,after weighting,can reach 74.63%,demonstrating the model's ability to achieve optimal solutions for multi-objective problems.When an actual flood occurs in the basin,this model offers improved scheduling decisions by accurately predicting the types and quantities of materials needed.

public safetybasin floodemergency material schedulingtime windowmaterial satisfaction ratenon-dominated sorting genetic algorithm Ⅱ

段在鹏、杨泽鸿、白雨凡、闫兵艳

展开 >

福州大学经济与管理学院,福州 350108

福建省应急管理研究中心,福州 350108

福州大学环境与安全工程学院,福州 350108

公共安全 流域性洪灾 应急物资调度 时间窗 物资满足率 第二代非支配排序遗传算法

2024

安全与环境学报
北京理工大学 中国环境科学学会 中国职业安全健康协会

安全与环境学报

CSTPCD北大核心
影响因子:0.943
ISSN:1009-6094
年,卷(期):2024.24(12)