首页|基于加权平均的CC-GRA-Lasso模型对生活垃圾清运量影响因素研究

基于加权平均的CC-GRA-Lasso模型对生活垃圾清运量影响因素研究

Research on the Influence Factors of CC-GRA-Lasso Model on Domestic Waste Removal Based on Weighted Mean

扫码查看
城市生活垃圾清运量的影响因素较多,为有效筛选主要影响因素,采用相关系数(CC)、灰色关联度(GRA)和Lasso回归三种模型对合肥市生活垃圾清运量13个影响因素数据进行分析,选用CRITIC权重法对三种分析方法进行加权算术平均,计算出CC的权重为52.56%、GRA的权重为8.57%、Lasso的权重为38.87%.基于此构建CC-GRA-Lasso组合模型,最终筛选得到排名前7的主要因素为社会销售品零售总额、第三产业增加值、煤气天然气、年人均可支配收入、年人均消费支出、GDP和年末总人数.根据筛选出来的结果,采用GA-BP神经网络对合肥市城市生活垃圾2022-2035年清运量进行预测,合肥市在2035年生活垃圾清运量将达到447.02万吨.
There are lots of influencing factors on the amount of urban domestic waste removal,and the re-search took the data of thirteen influencing factors on the amount of domestic waste removal in Hefei City as an example to effectively refine the main influencing factors.By using correlation coefficient ( CC ) , Grey Relational Analysis (GRA) and Lasso regression,the thirteen factors were analyzed,the CRITIC weighting method was chosen to perform a weighted arithmetic mean of the three analyses,and the weights were calculated to be 52.56% for CC,8.57% for GRA,and 38.87% for Lasso.The CC-GRA-Lasso com-bination model was constructed,and the final refine obtained the top seven main factors as total retail sales of social sales goods,value added of tertiary industry,gas and natural gas,annual per capita disposable in-come,annual per capita consumption expenditure,GDP and total number of people at the end of the year.Based on the screened results,GA-BP neural network was used to predict the amount of urban domestic waste removal in Hefei City from 2022 to 2035 .The volume of domestic waste removal in Hefei City in 2035 will reach 4.4702 million tons.

municipal domestic wasteinfluencing factorsCC-GRA-Lasso combination modelweighted mean

陈俊、宋子慧、湛宗胜、李雪、汪雨同

展开 >

合肥大学 生物食品与环境学院,安徽 合肥 230601

城市生活垃圾 影响因素 CC-GRA-Lasso组合模型 加权平均

安徽省首批研究生联合培养基地国家重点研发计划

皖教秘科[2022]40号2020YFC1908601

2024

蚌埠学院学报
蚌埠学院

蚌埠学院学报

影响因子:0.231
ISSN:2095-297X
年,卷(期):2024.13(2)
  • 10