首页|1961-2007年四川夏季降水的时空变化特征

1961-2007年四川夏季降水的时空变化特征

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基于1961-2007年四川地区119测站逐日降水资料,利用EOF、REOF分析、趋势分析、M-K突变检验以及Morlet小波分析等方法,研究了四川地区夏季降水的变化趋势、空间分布特征以及时间变化规律.结果表明:近47 a来四川夏季降水呈减少趋势,在1962、1982年和21世纪初发生突变,存在22 a和6~8 a的周期.四川夏季降水可分为4个区域:一区(盆地东部)和四区(川西高原)夏季降水量长期变化呈增多趋势,二区(盆地中西部)长期变化呈减少趋势,三区(川西南山)变化趋势较为稳定,呈小幅度增多趋势.4个区域的夏季降水周期各有特点,最长存在的周期为23 a左右,其次还有16a、14 a、12a、8 a、6 a的周期变化.
Spatial-Temporal Variation Characteristics of Summer Precipitation in Sichuan, 1961-2007
Based on the precipitation data of 119 stations from 1961 to 2010,the temporal and spatial variations of summer precipitation in Sichuan were analyzed by using the EOF,REOF linear trend,Mann-Kendall analysis and Morlet wavelet analysis.The analyzed results are as follows:The summer precipitation presents a downward tendency during the 47 years.Abrupt changes appeared in 1962,1982 and 2000,respectively.There were changing periods of 22 and 6-8 years.Spatially,the summer precipitation in Sichuan can be subdivided into the following four regions:east Sichuan basin,mid-west Sichuan basin,southwest Sichuan mountain region and western Sichuan plateau.Summer precipitation was increasing in east Sichuan basin and western Sichuan plateau,was decreasing in mid-west Sichuan basin and more stationary,perhaps with a little increasing,in southwest Sichuan mountain region.In the four regions,there were unique annual and decadal variations in summer precipitation,with changing periods of 23,16,14,12,8 and 6 years.

Sichuansummer precipitationspatial-temporal variation characteristics

赵旋、李耀辉、齐冬梅

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中国气象局成都高原气象研究所,四川成都610072

中国气象局兰州干旱气象研究所,甘肃兰州 730020

四川地区 夏季降水 时空特征

公益性行业(气象)科研专项

GYHY201006023

2013

冰川冻土
中国地理学会 中国科学院寒区旱区环境与工程研究所

冰川冻土

CSTPCDCSCD北大核心
影响因子:2.546
ISSN:1000-0240
年,卷(期):2013.35(4)
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