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俄乌冲突对我国贸易的影响及其策略

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俄乌冲突加剧了逆全球化,进而对我国贸易产生影响。本文以中俄及中乌贸易特征为研究起点,通过数据比较发现,这场冲突对我国贸易进出口的直接影响主要体现在出口利润降低、欧洲市场竞争力削弱与出口欧洲受限;对我国贸易的间接影响主要反映在股市震荡加剧、输入型通货膨胀风险上升、产业链及供应链的安全风险上升,与"一带一路"相应国家发展受困。为此,文章提出了拓展国际合作新空间、加强重点领域合作、打造自主的产业链及供应链、推进数字人民币与人民币国际化建设的策略。
The Impacts of Russia-Ukraine conflict on China's Trade and Its Strategies
Russia-Ukraine conflict has intensified against glob-alization and it has an impact on China's trade.Based on the characteristics of Sino-Russia and Sino-Ukraine trade as a starting point,through data comparison found that the direct impacts of this conflict on China's trade imports and exports are mainly reflected in the reduction of export profits,the weakening of European market competitiveness and the restriction of exports to Europe,and the indirect impacts on China's trade are mainly reflected in the intensification of stock market shocks,the rise of imported inflation risks,the rise of security risks in the industrial chain and supply chain,and the development difficulties of the corresponding countries along the"the Belt and Road".For this reason,the paper proposes strategies for expanding international co-operation,strengthening co-operation in key areas,building independent production and supply chains,and promoting the development of digital renminbi and Internationalization of the renminbi.

Russia-Ukraine conflictCapital marketSino-Russian tradeChina-Uzbekistan trade

田蓁莉

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江苏师范大学江苏圣理工学院-中俄学院,江苏徐州 221116

俄乌冲突 资本市场 中俄贸易 中乌贸易

教育部人文社会科学研究 2019年教育学规划项目

19YJA880020

2024

北方经贸
黑龙江省经济委员会 黑龙江省经济管理干部学院

北方经贸

影响因子:0.24
ISSN:1005-913X
年,卷(期):2024.(3)
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