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贸易便利化对中国出口的影响及出口潜力研究——基于RCEP伙伴国

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本文构建贸易便利化测度体系,使用主成分分析法测算RCEP成员国贸易便利化指数,并利用 2015-2019 年中国与RCEP伙伴国的面板数据,在扩展引力模型的基础上,实证分析贸易便利化对中国出口贸易流量的影响及其出口潜力。研究表明:RCEP成员国贸易便利化处于一般便利水平,且贸易便利化对中国出口贸易流量的促进作用最为显著。潜力分析表明,提高RCEP伙伴国贸易便利化水平可以增加对其的出口额,且出口额提高比例最大的是贸易便利化处于中上水平的国家。
Research on the Impact and Export Potential of Trade Facilitation on China's Exports——Based on RCEP partner countries
this paper proposes a measurement framework of trade facilitation,using principal component analysis to measure the extent of trade facilitation of RCEP member countries,and panel data of China and RCEP partners from 2015 to 2019 to empirically analyze the impact of trade facilitation on China's export trade flow and its export potential on the basis of the extended gravity model.The research shows that the extent of trade facilitation of RCEP member countries is at ordinary level of convenience,and trade facilitation plays the most significant role in promoting China's export trade flow.Potential analysis shows that improving the extent of trade facilitation in RCEP partners can increase exports,and the largest increase in export volume is from countries where trade facilitation is at the upper-middle level.

RCEPTrade FacilitationPrincipal Component AnalysisGravity ModelExport Potential

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东南大学成贤学院,南京 210088

RCEP 贸易便利化 主成分分析 引力模型 出口潜力

江苏省高等学校哲学社会科学研究一般项目

2020SJA2213

2024

北方经贸
黑龙江省经济委员会 黑龙江省经济管理干部学院

北方经贸

影响因子:0.24
ISSN:1005-913X
年,卷(期):2024.(4)
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