摘要
随着互联网的飞速发展,数字经济已然成为国际贸易发展的新引擎.2022 年中国与东盟十国、日本、韩国、新西兰和澳大利亚共同签署的《全面经济伙伴关系协定》开始实施,这意味着全球最具发展潜力的自由贸易区正式启航.本文通过建立随机前沿引力模型,探究了 2010-2021 年中国对RCEP成员国数字贸易潜力情况.实证结果表明中国对RCEP成员国数字贸易潜力差异较大,中国数字贸易出口仍有很大拓展空间,并据此提出了加强数字基础设施建设、推动自贸协定的签订并落实、提高数字产品核心竞争力等三条建议.
Abstract
With the rapid development of the Internet,the digital economy has become a new engine for the development of international trade.In 2022,the Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement signed by China with the 10 ASEAN countries,Japan,South Korea,New Zealand and Australia came into effect,which means that the world's most promising free trade area has officially set sail.This paper explores the potential of China's digital trade with RCEP member countries from 2010 to 2021 by establishing a stochastic frontier gravity model.The empirical results show that China's digital trade potential with RCEP member countries varies greatly,and there is still a lot of room for expansion of China's digital trade exports.Based on this,three suggestions were put forward,including strengthening the construction of digital infrastructure,promoting the signing or implementation of free trade agreements,and improving the core competitiveness of digital products.
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