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京津冀绿色技术创新对经济韧性的影响效应研究

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应对产业变革和绿色发展目标,绿色技术创新已成为经济转型的主要方向.针对京津冀地区产业转型调整和生态目标,发展绿色技术、培育绿色产业能够有效推进和稳定经济增长,提高经济韧性.本文从绿色技术创新的价值属性视角入手,研究绿色技术创新对经济韧性的作用形式、影响机制和影响效应.研究表明:2012—2022年京津冀区域整体绿色技术创新专利授权数量呈现持续上升态势,然而占全国比重大幅下降;绿色技术创新专利授权量的空间布局整体表现为以北京为核心,天津次之的显著的"中心—外围"结构;京津冀地区经济韧性总体偏弱,北京最具抵抗风险的能力.从实证结果看,绿色技术创新对经济韧性具有显著影响,且存在U型特征作用形式.消费在绿色技术创新对地区经济韧性影响效应中发挥负向调节效应,在绿色技术创新起步期,消费扩张会弱化绿色技术创新对经济韧性提高的抑制作用;随着绿色技术创新规模扩大,消费扩张会减弱绿色技术创新对经济韧性的正向推进作用.因此,应从构建以绿色创新为前沿领域的区域创新生态系统、加快推进区域绿色产业发展、加快绿色生产、合理优化消费结构等方面提升京津冀区域经济韧性.
On the Influence Effect of Green Technology Innovation on Economic Resilience in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region
In response to industrial transformation and green development goals,green technology innovation has become the main direction of economic transformation. According to the industrial transformation and restructuring and ecological goals of the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region,the development of green technologies and the cultivation of green industries can effectively promote and stabilize economic growth and improve economic resilience. From the perspective of the value attribute of green technology innovation,this paper studies the function form,influence mechanism and influence effect of green technology innovation on economic resilience. The results show that from 2012 to 2022,the number of green technology innovation patents authorized in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region continues to rise,but its proportion in the whole country decreases significantly;The overall spatial distribution of green technology innovation patent grants shows a significant "center-periphery" structure with Beijing as the core and Tianjin as the second. The economic resilience of the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region is generally weak,with Beijing showing the best ability to resist risks. According to the empirical results,green technology innovation has a significant impact on economic resilience and shows a U-shaped characteristic. Consumption plays a negative moderating effect on the impact of green technology innovation on regional economic resilience. In the initial stage of green technology innovation,the expansion of consumption of new green technology products will reduce the negative inhibiting effect of green technology innovation on the improvement of economic resilience. With the large-scale application of green technology innovation,green technology products consumption will weaken the positive promoting effect of green technology innovation on economic resilience. It is suggested to enhance the economic resilience of the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region from the aspects of building a regional innovation ecosystem with green innovation as the frontier,accelerating the development of regional green industry,accelerating green production,and optimizing green consumption structure in a reasonable manner.

Beijing-Tianjin-Hebeigreen technology innovationeconomic resilience"core-periphery"structure

何皛彦、李国平、梁伟

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北京大学政府管理学院,北京 100871

首都经济贸易大学城市经济与公共管理学院,北京 100070

京津冀 绿色技术创新 经济韧性 "核心—外围"结构

国家社会科学基金重大项目

20ZDA040

2024

北京交通大学学报(社会科学版)
北京交通大学

北京交通大学学报(社会科学版)

CHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:0.729
ISSN:1672-8106
年,卷(期):2024.23(3)