兵工学报2024,Vol.45Issue(12) :4364-4371.DOI:10.12382/bgxb.2023.1025

基于Kriging模型的液压管道防油击可靠性分析

Reliability Analysisfor Anti-oil Hammer of Hydraulic Pipe Based on Kriging Model

查从燚 孙志礼 刘勤 董鹏飞
兵工学报2024,Vol.45Issue(12) :4364-4371.DOI:10.12382/bgxb.2023.1025

基于Kriging模型的液压管道防油击可靠性分析

Reliability Analysisfor Anti-oil Hammer of Hydraulic Pipe Based on Kriging Model

查从燚 1孙志礼 1刘勤 2董鹏飞1
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作者信息

  • 1. 东北大学机械工程与自动化学院,辽宁沈阳 110819
  • 2. 中国兵器科学研究院,北京 100089
  • 折叠

摘要

油击易造成管道破坏和泄漏等问题,传统的液压管道分析多基于确定性参数.由于制造误差、材料离散性以及环境变化等因素,实际工况下的管道参数往往具有随机不确定性.针对此问题,考虑不确定性的影响,建立液压管道的防油击可靠性分析模型.基于管路流固耦合四方程模型,利用特征线法进行油击作用下的管道动态特性分析,并以其引起的压力峰值是否超过屈服强度为判断依据,建立管道防油击的极限状态函数.由于极限状态函数为隐式,构建基于自适应Kriging模型的管道防油击可靠性分析方法,得到管道的油击失效概率.研究结果表明:基于自适应Kriging模型的可靠性方法在满足精度要求的前提下,能够大幅提高计算效率.

Abstract

The oil hammer can easily lead to the adverse effects such as pipeline damage and leakage.The current analysis for the hydraulic pipe is based on its deterministic parameters,whereas the parameters generally exhibit random uncertainties in actual working conditions due to the manufacturing errors,material dispersion,and environmental changes.To address this issue,a reliability model with anti-oil hammer is developed for the pipe in considering the parameter uncertainties.Based on the four-equation model with fluid-structure interaction,the method of characteristics(MOC)is used for the dynamic characteristic analysis on the pipe subjected to oil hammer.Then a limit state function with anti-oil hammer for the pipe is established based on the criterion whether the oil hammer-induced peak pressure exceedes the yield strength or not.As the limit state function is implicit,a reliability analysis method with anti-oil hammer for the hydraulic pipe is established based on an adaptive Kriging model.Subsequently,the failure probability of the hydraulic pipe under oil hammer is calculated.The results indicate that the reliability analysis method based on the adaptive Kriging model can significantly improve the computational efficiency while meeting the accuracy requirements.

关键词

液压管道/油击/可靠性/特征线法/Kriging模型

Key words

hydraulic pipe/oil hammer/reliability/method of characteristic/Kriging model

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出版年

2024
兵工学报
中国兵工学会

兵工学报

CSTPCD北大核心
影响因子:0.735
ISSN:1000-1093
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