工作稳定性对二孩生育意愿的影响研究——基于中国综合社会调查数据的实证分析

The Influence of Working Stability on Second-child Fertility Intention——An Empirical Analysis Based on the Data of China's General Social Survey

李正东 姜金明

工作稳定性对二孩生育意愿的影响研究——基于中国综合社会调查数据的实证分析

The Influence of Working Stability on Second-child Fertility Intention——An Empirical Analysis Based on the Data of China's General Social Survey

李正东 1姜金明1
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作者信息

  • 1. 上海应用技术大学人文学院,上海 201418
  • 折叠

摘要

工作作为居民个体社会生活和家庭生活的交汇点,其稳定性深刻影响着居民的二孩生育意愿水平的高低.基于中国综合社会调查(CGSS2015)数据,采用Logit回归模型,从工作稳定性视角出发,探究工作变动经历、工作变动意愿和工作转变安排对居民二孩生育意愿的影响.结果显示:从工作变动经历来看,在自身工作状况影响下,其对居民二孩生育意愿具有显著的促进效应,并且有显著的性别差异和城乡差异,城镇居民的二孩生育意愿受到了工作变动经历的显著正向影响,而乡村居民的二孩生育意愿却受到了抑制,并且对男性居民的二孩生育意愿具有更显著的促进作用;从工作变动意愿来看,居民的工作单位变动意愿相较于工作类型变动意愿对二孩生育意愿的抑制作用更明显,公有制单位中工作单位变动意愿对居民二孩生育意愿的负向作用更显著.同时,当居民工作地点向国外变迁时,对二孩生育意愿有显著的抑制作用,而居民工作地点在国内变动时,对二孩生育意愿的影响却具有正向的促进作用;从工作转变安排来看,工作转变安排显著降低了女性居民的二孩生育意愿,而对男性居民二孩生育意愿的影响却表现出相反的作用.

Abstract

As the intersection of individual social life and family life, the working stability has a profound impact on the level of residents' willingness to have a second child. Based on the data of China General Social Survey (CGSS2015) and the Logit regression model, this paper explores the effects of job change experience, job change intention and job change arrangement on residents' intention to have a second child from the perspective of job stability. The findings show that: from the perspective of job change experience, under the influence of their own working conditions, it has a significant promoting effect on residents' intention to have a second child, and there is a significant gender difference and urban-rural difference. Urban residents' intention to have a second child is significantly positively affected by job change experience, while rural residents' intention to have a second child is inhibited. Moreover, it has a more significant promoting effect on male residents' intention to have a second child. From the perspective of job change intention, compared with the change intention of job type, the change intention of work unit has a more obvious inhibitory effect on the intention of having a second child. In public ownership units, the change intention of work unit has a more significant negative effect on the intention of having a second child. At the same time, when the residents' work place changes to foreign countries, it has a significant inhibitory effect on the intention to have a second child, while when the residents' work place changes in China, it has a positive promoting effect on the intention to have a second child. From the perspective of work change arrangement, the improvement of work change arrangement significantly reduces the intention of female residents to have a second child, while it has the opposite effect on the intention of male residents to have a second child.

关键词

工作稳定性/二孩生育意愿/工作变动/异质性/倾向得分匹配

Key words

working stability/second-child fertility intention/job change/heterogeneity/propensity score matching

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出版年

2024
北京化工大学学报(社会科学版)
北京化工大学

北京化工大学学报(社会科学版)

CHSSCD
影响因子:0.362
ISSN:1671-6639
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