Analysis of the Impact of Agricultural Products on Production Value in Beijing Ecological Cultivation Zone under the Background of"Carbon Emission Reduction"
Beijing Ecological Cultivation Area is an important ecological barrier and water source protection area in the capital city,and the agricultural production space in this area has been greatly compressed due to its functional limitations.In order to explore the path of sustainable development of agriculture in the eco-containment area,we take the agricultural output value and ten major agricultural products in the area as the research object,and based on the relevant statistical data of the eco-containment area from 2011 to 2021,we use the gray correlation analysis and the GM(1,1)model prediction method to calculate the correlation ranking and the numerical prediction of the"14th Five-Year Plan"period."The results show that Beijing's eco-harboring areas have been recognized as the most important ecological areas in the world.The results show that the agricultural output value of the Bei-jing Ecological Shelter Area and the main agricultural products are all strongly correlated,and the contribution of vegetables and edible fungi,meat,and milk to the agricultural output value ranked in the top three;the predicted output value and production during the"14th Five-Year Plan"period will further decline,and the proportion of agricultural production will be further reduced.It is necessary to continue to increase the input of agricultural sci-ence and technology,improve the production efficiency and quality of agricultural products,expand sales channels,create an ecological culvert agricultural brand,and increase the value-added of agricultural products;at the same time,the organic combination of agriculture and recreational tourism,and vigorously develop rural tourism,and pro-mote the acceleration of the integration of regional industries and the rapid development of economic and social de-velopment.
NETL
NSTL
万方数据
