首页|"双碳"背景下区域隐含碳排放及其产业关联——以贵州省电力行业为例

"双碳"背景下区域隐含碳排放及其产业关联——以贵州省电力行业为例

扫码查看
为助力实现国家"双碳"目标,重点排放部门电力行业的碳减排十分关键.基于多区域投入产出模型构建贵州省际贸易隐含碳排放转移矩阵,采用结构分解分析方法识别隐含碳排放变化的驱动因素,求解出其产业关联系数,分析其产业关联特征.研究结果表明:贵州在省际贸易中属于隐含碳净流出省份,主要流向广东、江苏、重庆等地区,2012 年和 2017 年贵州隐含碳净转出量分别为 58 百万吨和 23 百万吨,五年内贵州电力行业隐含碳排放总量增加了 3.5 百万吨,主要是由于最终需求和碳强度的变化.其他产业对电力行业依赖程度较高,建筑业与交通运输、仓储和邮政行业是电力隐含碳主要流向行业.发电行业,煤炭采选产品行业为电力行业贡献了大部分隐含碳,电力行业流向服务业的隐含碳较多.此外,贵州电力行业的影响力系数和感应度系数均大于 1,表明该行业对其他产业发展的推动及拉动作用均较大.煤炭采选产品行业、金属冶炼和压延加工品、化学产品是电力行业最为密切的一个上游行业和两个下游行业.服务业与电力行业的关联度在逐步提高,建筑业对电力行业的依赖程度也在逐步提高.建议国家在进行减排目标分担时,应考虑贸易产生的隐含碳排放;电力行业产业链生产端重点关注发电行业减碳,需求端重点关注建筑业;鼓励上下游产业链和关联产业的合作.
Research on Regional Embodied Carbon Emissions and the Industrial Correlation under the Background of Dual-carbon Goal—A Case Study of the Power Industry in Guizhou Province
To contribute to the realization of the national dual-carbon goal,carbon emission reduction in the power sector,the key emission sector,is crucial.This paper first constructed the embodied carbon emission transfer matrix of inter-provincial trade in Guizhou province based on the multi-regional input-output model.Then structural decomposition analysis was used to identify the driving factors of embodied carbon emission changes.Then the input-output model of Guizhou Province was used to solve the industrial linkage coefficients and analyze the carbon emissions of the industrial chain as well as the industrial linkages.The results show that there is spatial heterogeneity in the pattern of embodied carbon emission transfer in Guizhou province,and the net embodied carbon transfer there was 58 and 23.5 MT from 2012 to 2017,which belongs to the embodied carbon transfer provinces.Embodied carbon emissions from the power sector in Guizhou province increased by 3.5MT over five years,mainly due to changes in final demand and carbon intensity.Secondly,other industries have a higher degree of dependence on the power industry,which makes the power industry bear most of the embodied carbon emissions of the remaining industries.Furthermore,the influence coefficient and inductance coefficient of the electric power industry in Guizhou province are both greater than 1,indicating that it has a greater role in promoting the development of other industries.The conclusions of this study can provide certain references for the formulation of regional carbon emission reduction policies under the dual-carbon background as well as the optimization and management of the power industry chain in Guizhou province.

dual-carbonembodied carbonindustrial linkage

胡玉杰、王彬力

展开 >

贵州大学 管理学院,贵州 贵阳 550025

"双碳" 隐含碳 投入产出模型

2025

北京理工大学学报(社会科学版)
北京理工大学

北京理工大学学报(社会科学版)

北大核心
影响因子:0.785
ISSN:1009-3370
年,卷(期):2025.27(1)