首页|1600-1900年渭南地区洪涝灾害多尺度时序特征及对降水的响应

1600-1900年渭南地区洪涝灾害多尺度时序特征及对降水的响应

扫码查看
目的 研究1600-1900年渭南地区洪涝灾害的多尺度时序特征及其对降水的响应,为认识该区洪涝灾害的发生机制和历史时期气候变化规律提供理论依据.方法 基于《中国三千年气象记录总集》等历史文献资料,利用集合经验模态分解(EEMD)和Morlet小波分析等方法.结果 1600-1900年渭南地区的洪涝灾害具有显著的准3 a和6 a的年际,准12 a,15 a,28 a和57 a的年代际和准125 a和208 a的百年际周期变化;厄尔尼诺和太平洋年代际振荡可能是导致该区洪涝灾害发生的主要原因;该区洪涝灾害在年际尺度上的方差贡献率(68.34%)大于在年代际和百年尺度上的方差贡献率(24.0%和2.92%),这可能暗含着该地区洪涝灾害的年际振荡信号强于年代际和百年尺度的振荡信号.结论 1600-1900年渭南地区的洪涝灾害存在年际、年代际和百年际尺度变化特征,并与毗邻地区华山和中北地区的降水有着较好的响应.
Multi-scale characteristics of flood disasters and its response to precipation in Weinan region from 1600 to 1900
Purposes—To study the multi-scale characteristics of flood disasters in Weinan region from 1600 to 1900 and their response to precipitation,and to provide a theoretical basis for under-standing the occurrence mechanism of flood disasters and the law of climate change in historical peri-ods in this region.Methods—Based on historical documents such as Collection of 3 000 Meteorological Records of China,ensemble empirical mode decomposition(EEMD)and morlet wavelet analysis were used for above-mentioned purposes.Results—From 1600 to 1900,the flood disasters in Weinan region had significant inter-annual changes of quasi-3 a and 6 a,quasi-12 a,15 a,28 a and 57 a,and quasi-125 a and 208 a.El Nino and Pacific decadal oscillations may be the main causes of flooding in the re-gion.The variance contribution rate of flood disasters on the interannual scale(68.34%)was greater than that on the interdecadal and centennial scales(24.0%and 2.92%),which may imply that the in-terannual oscillation signal of flood disasters in this region is stronger than that of the interdecadal and centennial scale.Conclusions—The flood disaster in Weinan region from 1600 to 1900 has significant interannual,interdecadal and centennial oscillation,and had a good response to the precipitation in Huashan mountain and North-Central China.

Weinan regionflood disastersclimate changeinterannual-centennial time scale

郁耀闯、邓丽华、王长燕、蒋文君、周飞、秦怡兰、任媛媛

展开 >

宝鸡文理学院地理与环境学院/陕西省灾害监测与机理模拟实验室,陕西宝鸡 721013

渭南地区 洪涝灾害 气候变化 年际-百年际尺度

国家自然科学基金项目陕西省教育厅重点实验室项目陕西省社会科学界联合会项目陕西省社会科学界联合会项目陕西省社科项目陕西省社科项目宝鸡市科技局项目

4177104818JS0052019Z0072020Z0502019E0072020E0072018JH-13

2024

宝鸡文理学院学报(自然科学版)
宝鸡文理学院

宝鸡文理学院学报(自然科学版)

影响因子:0.356
ISSN:1007-1261
年,卷(期):2024.44(2)