首页|青海湖地区气候变化对西北针茅生长发育和产量的影响

青海湖地区气候变化对西北针茅生长发育和产量的影响

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利用青海湖北岸海北牧业气象试验站西北针茅(Stipakrylovii)定位观测资料,应用逐步回归、小波分析、Logistic曲线拟合、M—K检验等方法,分析了气候变化对牧草生长发育和产量形成的影响。结果表明,研究区年平均气温呈极显著上升趋势,升幅为每10年0.529℃,1986年和1997年气温发生突变;降水量呈逐年上升趋势,气候倾向率为每10年4.955miyl,年降水量有一个9年左右的振荡周期;年蒸散量和日照时数也呈上升趋势;气候变暖使青海湖北岸温性草原典型牧草西北针茅营养生长期提前,生殖生长期推迟,从而使牧草整个生育期延长,为物质和能量的积累及产量形成奠定了基础。影响西北针茅返青、开花、成熟和黄枯期的主要因子是热量条件,水分和日照条件也是影响牧草生育期的因子,对于不同生育期,其影响大小有所不同;返青期主要受2—4月最高气温和上年8月降水量的共同影响,气候变化可使返青期提前,黄枯期推迟;6月平均最低气温和3—6月小型蒸发量共同影响牧草高度,气候变化使西北针茅高度增加;牧草产量与6—7月最低气温呈正相关关系,与6—8月日照时数呈负相关关系,这两个因子变化趋势使产量呈增加趋势。
The effects of the climate change in the Qinghai Lake region on the growth and yield of Stipa krylovii
The data from Haibei livestock meteorological experiment station in the northern region of Qing- hal Lake were used to determine the influence of the climate change on the grass growth and yield of Stipa krylovii by stepwise regression, wavelet analysis, logistic curve fitting and M-K test. This study showed that the average annual temperature had the obviously increasing trend with the extent of 0. 529℃ per 10 a, and the mutations occurred in 1986 and 1997. The rainfall also has the increasing trend with the extent of 4. 955 mm per 10 a and the annual rainfall oscillated every 9 years. The annual evaporation and sunshine hours also increased. The S. krylovii growth was affected by both the highest temperature during Febru- ary and April and rainfall of the August in the previous year, but the climate change made it become green earlier, and climate warming postponed the time of grass wilting. The grass height was influenced by both the average lowest temperature in June and the evaporation from March to June. Climate change made the height increase. The grass yield had the positive correlation with the lowest temperature from June to July, and had the negative correlation with sunshine hours from June to August, and the changeable trends of the two factors encouraged grassland yield to increase.

the climate changegrass growth periodgrass yieldStipa krylovii

朱宝文、严德行、谢启玉、张盛魁

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青海省海北州气象台,青海海北810200

青海省海北州气象局,青海海北810200

气候变化 牧草生育期 牧草产量 西北针茅

2011

草业科学
中国草原学会 兰州大学草地农业科技学院

草业科学

CSTPCDCSCD北大核心
影响因子:0.854
ISSN:1001-0629
年,卷(期):2011.28(7)
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