Scenario Prediction of the Energy-saving and Emission-reduction of Tianjin Urban Passenger Transport Based on LEAP Model
Taking Tianjin as the research object,this paper constructs an urban passenger transport carbon emission calculation model based on Low Emissions Analysis Platform(LEAP),which adopts the scenario analysis method to explore the development target and development path of low-carbon transport in 2030.The result shows that the energy consumption and carbon emission of Tianjin under the four development scenarios are reduced compared with the baseline scenario,and the comprehensive scenario has the best effect,which can reduce the energy consumption and CO2 emissions by 81.90%and 77.0%respectively.Therefore,it is necessary to promote public transportation and clean energy technologies to achieve carbon peaking and carbon neutrality goals.