首页|时序InSAR与数值模拟用于公路滑坡灾前风险评估

时序InSAR与数值模拟用于公路滑坡灾前风险评估

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针对在山区道路修建过程中,挖方削坡活动可能会降低边坡的稳定性,从而增加降雨、地震等外部环境变化引发的滑坡风险问题,综合InSAR变形观测和失稳数值模拟,提出了 一个公路滑坡定量风险评估框架.选取临夏拉沙沟滑坡群作为研究区域,对该区域2021年1月—2023年3月的Sentinel-1A影像进行SBAS-InSAR处理,通过形变速率信息评估滑坡群的风险等级;通过Massflow模拟危险滑坡L2失稳所造成的可能空间影响;结合G310公路的交通流量数据,定量评估车辆的撞击风险和由此导致的人员伤亡风险.结果表明,拉沙沟滑坡群在监测期间仍处于活跃状态,沿LOS向的最大形变速率达-53 mm/a,存在再次失稳的可能性;滑坡L2失稳后大部分碎屑物将堆积在G310公路上,且预计最大堆积长度达304 m;在这种情况下,滑坡失稳预计击中3.18辆行驶车辆,并造成最高14.31人伤亡.通过将灾前滑坡的监测、模拟和评估工作相结合,为山区公路滑坡的工程管理和防灾减灾提供一个方案参考.
Pre-disaster risk assessment of Linxia highway landslide using time-series InSAR and numerical simulation
During the construction of mountain roads,slope cutting activities may reduce the stability of the slope and increase the risk of landslide caused by external environment changes such as rainfall and earthquake.To address these issues,this paper proposes a quantitative risk assessment framework for highway landslides that integrates InSAR deformation observation and instability numerical simulation.The Lashagou landslide group from Linxia was selected as the study area,the Sentinel-1A images in this area from January 2021 to March 2023 were processed by SBAS-InSAR to evaluate the risk level of the landslide group through the deformation rate information.Subsequently,Massflow was utilized to simulate the potential spatial effects of L2 landslide instability in hazardous landslides.Finally,in conjunction with G310 highway traffic flow data,vehicle collision risk and resulting human injury risk were quantitatively assessed.The results indicate that the Lashagou landslide group remained active during the monitoring period with a maximum deformation rate along the LOS direction of-53 mm/a,suggesting a possibility of further instability.Following an L2 landslide failure,most debris is projected to accumulate on G310 highway with an expected maximum accumulation length of 304 m.Under this scenario,it is anticipated that 3.18 moving vehicles will be impacted by landslide failure leading to up to 14.31 casualties.By integrating pre-disaster landslide monitoring,simulation and evaluation processes,this study offers a viable approach for engineering management of landslides in mountainous areas which can contribute significantly towards disaster prevention and mitigation efforts.

highway landslideInSARnumerical simulationquantitative risk assessment

曾小龙、张双成、樊茜佑、王雄飞、牛玉芬、王杰、姜楗文

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长安大学地质工程与测绘学院,西安 710054

自然资源部陕西西安地裂缝与地面沉降野外科学观测研究站,西安 710054

中国冶金地质总局一局,河北廊坊 065200

河北工程大学矿业与测绘工程学院,河北邯郸 056038

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公路滑坡 InSAR 数值模拟 定量风险评估

国家重点研发计划项目国家自然科学基金项目陕西省科技创新团队项目陕西省地学大数据与地质灾害防控三秦学者创新团队项目(2022)

2020YFC150071420740412021TD-51

2024

测绘科学
中国测绘科学研究院

测绘科学

CSTPCD北大核心
影响因子:0.774
ISSN:1009-2307
年,卷(期):2024.49(7)