首页|顾及地球物理效应的GNSS高程时间序列AdaBoost预测和插值方法

顾及地球物理效应的GNSS高程时间序列AdaBoost预测和插值方法

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传统的GNSS高程时间序列预测和插值方法仅考虑时间变量,具有明显的局限性.本文顾及地球物理效应的影响,通过温度、大气压强、极移等数据和GNSS高程时间序列数据构建回归问题,使用自适应提升(AdaBoost)算法建模.为了验证模型的预测和插值性能,试验选取4个GNSS站的高程时间序列进行分析.建模试验表明,相较于Prophet模型,AdaBoost模型的拟合精度提升了约35%;预测结果表明,在12个月的预测周期内,AdaBoost模型在4个GNSS站的MAE值为4.0~4.5 mm,RMSE值约为5.0~6.0 mm;插值试验表明,相较于三次样条插值方法,AdaBoost插值模型的精度约提升了 15%-28%.预测和插值试验表明,顾及地球物理效应的AdaBoost模型可以应用于GNSS高程时间序列预测与插值.
Prediction and interpolation of GNSS vertical time series based on the AdaBoost method considering geophysical effects
Traditional GNSS vertical time series prediction and interpolation methods only consider time variables and have ob-vious limitations.This study takes into account the impact of geophysical effects and constructs a regression problem using temperature,atmospheric pressure,polar motion,and GNSS vertical time series data,uses the adaptive boost(AdaBoost)algorithm for modeling.To verify the prediction and interpolation performance of the model,the vertical time series from 4 GNSS stations were selected for analysis.The modeling experiment shows that compared to the Prophet model,the fitting accuracy of AdaBoost model has been improved by 35%.The prediction results indicate that within a 12 month prediction peri-od,the MAE values of the AdaBoost model at four GNSS stations are approximately 4.0~4.5 mm,and the RMSE values are approximately 5.0~6.0 mm.The interpolation experiment shows that compared to the cubic spline interpolation method,the accuracy of AdaBoost interpolation model has been improved by about 15%-28%.Our experiments have shown that the Ada-Boost model considering geophysical effects can be applied to the prediction and interpolation of GNSS vertical time series.

GNSS vertical time seriesgeophysical effectspredictioninterpolationadaptive boosting algorithm

鲁铁定、李祯

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东华理工大学测绘与空间信息工程学院,江西南昌 330013

自然资源部环鄱阳湖区域矿山环境监测与治理重点实验室,江西南昌 330013

GNSS高程时间序列 地球物理效应 预测 插值 自适应提升算法

国家自然科学基金国家自然科学基金

4206107742374040

2024

测绘学报
中国测绘学会

测绘学报

CSTPCD北大核心
影响因子:1.602
ISSN:1001-1595
年,卷(期):2024.53(6)
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