首页|顾及地球物理效应的GNSS高程时间序列AdaBoost预测和插值方法

顾及地球物理效应的GNSS高程时间序列AdaBoost预测和插值方法

Prediction and interpolation of GNSS vertical time series based on the AdaBoost method considering geophysical effects

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传统的GNSS高程时间序列预测和插值方法仅考虑时间变量,具有明显的局限性.本文顾及地球物理效应的影响,通过温度、大气压强、极移等数据和GNSS高程时间序列数据构建回归问题,使用自适应提升(AdaBoost)算法建模.为了验证模型的预测和插值性能,试验选取4个GNSS站的高程时间序列进行分析.建模试验表明,相较于Prophet模型,AdaBoost模型的拟合精度提升了约35%;预测结果表明,在12个月的预测周期内,AdaBoost模型在4个GNSS站的MAE值为4.0~4.5 mm,RMSE值约为5.0~6.0 mm;插值试验表明,相较于三次样条插值方法,AdaBoost插值模型的精度约提升了 15%-28%.预测和插值试验表明,顾及地球物理效应的AdaBoost模型可以应用于GNSS高程时间序列预测与插值.
Traditional GNSS vertical time series prediction and interpolation methods only consider time variables and have ob-vious limitations.This study takes into account the impact of geophysical effects and constructs a regression problem using temperature,atmospheric pressure,polar motion,and GNSS vertical time series data,uses the adaptive boost(AdaBoost)algorithm for modeling.To verify the prediction and interpolation performance of the model,the vertical time series from 4 GNSS stations were selected for analysis.The modeling experiment shows that compared to the Prophet model,the fitting accuracy of AdaBoost model has been improved by 35%.The prediction results indicate that within a 12 month prediction peri-od,the MAE values of the AdaBoost model at four GNSS stations are approximately 4.0~4.5 mm,and the RMSE values are approximately 5.0~6.0 mm.The interpolation experiment shows that compared to the cubic spline interpolation method,the accuracy of AdaBoost interpolation model has been improved by about 15%-28%.Our experiments have shown that the Ada-Boost model considering geophysical effects can be applied to the prediction and interpolation of GNSS vertical time series.

GNSS vertical time seriesgeophysical effectspredictioninterpolationadaptive boosting algorithm

鲁铁定、李祯

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东华理工大学测绘与空间信息工程学院,江西南昌 330013

自然资源部环鄱阳湖区域矿山环境监测与治理重点实验室,江西南昌 330013

GNSS高程时间序列 地球物理效应 预测 插值 自适应提升算法

国家自然科学基金国家自然科学基金

4206107742374040

2024

测绘学报
中国测绘学会

测绘学报

CSTPCD北大核心
影响因子:1.602
ISSN:1001-1595
年,卷(期):2024.53(6)
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