The Impact of the Cultivation of New Quality Agricultural Labor Force on Crop Production——A Case Study of Cotton Yield
With cotton production as an example and from the perspective of agricultural labor transfer,this paper selects data from 22 major cotton-producing provinces in China from 2005 to 2021.It empirically analyzes the impact of the proportion of agricultural workers and the stock of agricultural human capital on cotton yield through a mediation effect model.The conclusions are as follows:(1)Overall,the rise in the proportion and the stock can promote the increase in total cotton yield,while the current land transfer is not conducive to this increase.(2)In terms of the major cotton-producing areas in the Yangtze River Basin and the Yellow River Ba-sin,increasing the agricultural human capital stock and the proportion of agricultural labor in these two regions,as well as improving the land transfer rate,will contribute to enhancing total cotton production.(3)When formulating policies to increase cotton produc-tion in the northwest inland areas,it is necessary to consider the current problems of low-skilled agricultural labor surplus and land transfer.Based on the above conclusions,it is advisable to refine the land transfer market,increase the contracting rate of new types of agricultural operating entities and enhance the probability of moderately scaled land,reduce the possibility of land abandonment.In addition,there is a need to strengthen agricultural labor skill training in the northwest inland areas to increase human capital stock,improve non-agricultural transfer and address the surplus of low-skilled labor force.
New Quality Agricultural Labor ForceAgricultural Labor TransferAgricultural Human Capital StockLand TransferTotal Cotton Production