首页|灌溉变化对华北平原地下水可持续利用的影响

灌溉变化对华北平原地下水可持续利用的影响

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针对华北平原地下水可持续利用问题,利用校准好的分布式水文MIKE SHE模型,考虑灌溉变化对地下水利用的影响,设定3种情景(现状保持型情景MS1、灌溉水量改变情景MS2和灌溉频率改变情景MS3)对华北平原未来20 a地下水利用进行预测.结果表明:①3种情景下华北平原未来20 a地下水水位均呈下降趋势,MS1、MS2和MS3下地下水水位年均降幅分别为0.335~1.648、0.298~1.588和0.303~1.607 m/a,东部沿海和京津地区出现了较严重的地下水降落漏斗问题,灌溉变化对地下水降落漏斗缓解效果并不显著.②灌溉变化在一定程度上能促进华北平原地下水水位和含水层储量恢复,且减少灌溉频率的作用大于降低灌溉水量的作用;相对于MS1,MS2和MS3可使含水层储量在20 a后分别恢复0.06 m和0.12 m.③采用灌溉变化无法彻底解决华北平原地下水水位和含水层持续消耗问题,须与其它措施结合,才能从长远角度保证华北平原地下水可持续利用.研究成果可为水资源规划与管理提供科学的依据和建议.
Effects of Irrigation Change on Sustainable Utilization of Ground water in North China Plain
In addressing groundwater utilization challenges in the North China Plain(NCP),we predicted the groundwater utilization trends over the next two decades considering the impact of altered irrigation practices by u-sing the calibrated distributed hydrological MIKE SHE model.In the prediction we employed three distinct scenari-os:the current situation maintenance scenario(MS1),an irrigation water volume change scenario(MS2),and an irrigation frequency change scenario(MS3).Our findings indicate that:1)Groundwater levels present a consistent downward trajectory across all scenarios.The annual decline ranges from 0.335 to 1.648 m/a under MS1,0.298 to 1.588 m/a under MS2,and 0.303 to 1.607 m/a under MS3.Particularly concerning is the emergence of groundwa-ter depression cones in the eastern coastal and Beijing-Tianjin areas,with minimal mitigation observed from changes in irrigation practices.2)Although modifying the irrigation facilitates some recovery in groundwater levels and aqui-fer storage,the impact varies.Decreasing irrigation frequency yields greater benefits compared to reducing irrigation water volume.Relative to MS1,MS2 and MS3 demonstrate potential to restore aquifer storage by 0.06 and 0.12 me-ters respectively over a 20-year period.3)However,reliance solely on altering irrigation practices falls short in halting the ongoing depletion of groundwater resources in the NCP.A comprehensive,long-term approach integra-ting additional measures is imperative to ensure sustainable groundwater management in the region.

groundwatersustainable utilizationchanges in irrigationMIKE SHE modelNorth China Plain

秦欢欢、黄丽想、王健泉

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东华理工大学核资源与环境国家重点实验室,南昌 330013

东华理工大学水资源与环境工程学院,南昌 330013

地下水 可持续利用 灌溉变化 MIKE SHE模型 华北平原

东华理工大学博士科研启动基金

DHBK2016104

2024

长江科学院院报
长江科学院

长江科学院院报

CSTPCD北大核心
影响因子:0.618
ISSN:1001-5485
年,卷(期):2024.41(4)
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