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两业融合对中国先进制造业GVC攀升的影响研究

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基于产业融合理论,依据 2005-2018 年现代服务业各行业和先进制造业各行业的数据,考量两业融合对中国先进制造业 GVC攀升的影响效应及内在机制,结果显示:两业融合通过外商直接投资、技术创新、资本深化、产业集聚对中国先进制造业 GVC位置和地位的影响存在差异。两业融合对中国先进制造业 GVC位置的影响显著为正,对其地位的影响呈现"倒 U"形特征。分位数回归结果显示,两业融合对中国先进制造业 GVC位置的正向影响仅在中高分位点显著,对其地位的"倒 U"形影响在各分位点均显著,并且在高分位点的影响更大。鉴于此,应加快推进两业深度融合发展、合理利用 FDI 的溢出效应、坚持创新驱动发展战略、维持适宜的资本深化态势以及有序推进产业集聚。
A Study on the Impact of the Integration of the Two Industries on the GVC Climbing in China's Advanced Manufacturing Industry
Based on the theory of industrial integration,this paper uses the data of modern service industry and advanced manufacturing industry from 2005 to 2018 to consider the impact and internal mechanism of the integration of the two industries on the rise of the global value chain of China's advanced manufacturing industry.The results show that:the influence of the integration of the two industries on the position of China's advanced manufacturing industry in the global value chain is significantly positive,and the influence on the position of China's ad-vanced manufacturing industry in the global value chain is significantly"inverted U".Quantile re-gression results show that the positive impact of the integration of the two industries on the GVC position of China's advanced manufacturing industry is significant only at the middle and high score loci,and the"inverted U-shaped"impact on the GVC position of China's advanced manu-facturing industry is significant at all sub-loci,and the impact is greater at the high score loci.The mechanism test found that the impact of the integration of the two industries on the position and status of China's advanced manufacturing industry in the global value chain is different through foreign direct investment,technological innovation,capital deepening and industrial ag-glomeration.In view of this,it is necessary to accelerate the in-depth integration of the two in-dustries,rationally utilize the spillover effect of FDI,adhere to the innovation-driven develop-ment strategy,maintain a suitable capital deepening trend,and orderly promote industrial ag-glomeration.

modern service industryadvanced manufacturing industryintegration of the two industriesglobal value chain climbing

陈颖

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广东技术师范大学 财经学院,广东 广州 510665

现代服务业 先进制造业 两业融合 全球价值链攀升

国家社会科学基金

23BJL094

2024

财经理论与实践
湖南大学

财经理论与实践

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:1.112
ISSN:1003-7217
年,卷(期):2024.45(2)
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