首页|"双循环"战略实施对中国区域经济格局的影响——基于斯密分工思想的分析

"双循环"战略实施对中国区域经济格局的影响——基于斯密分工思想的分析

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文章以"双循环"战略为背景，在斯密分工思想的指引下，参考新兴古典理论关于分工的研究成果，基于新经济地理学理论的中间投入品模型和新增长理论的人力资本模型，融入由土地要素带来的拥塞效应，构建了具有"双循环"特征的区域经济模型，并在此基础上通过数值模拟和实证检验，分析中国区域经济格局演变的驱动力，研究了"双循环"战略实施对中国区域经济格局的影响。研究发现:(1)沿海地区和内陆地区的发展差距将经历"快速增加—较快下降—缓慢上升"的演变过程，并且这种差距在中期虽会收敛但不会消失，在后期甚至还有拉大的风险;(2)沿海地区和内陆地区的发展差距，与两个地区的对外交易效率和区域内部的交易效率密切相关，在分工原理作用下，这将演化出不同的区域产业结构，最终导致区域间的经济发展差距;(3)"双循环"战略的实施主要从交易效率方面影响中国的区域经济格局，因此缩小区域发展差距可从交易效率入手，借助产业链和产业集群，充分利用分工的作用来实现区域间的协调发展。研究结果表明，中国区域经济格局的形成是市场竞争下地域分工演化的结果，是斯密分工思想在区域经济中的体现。文章研究不仅巩固了区域经济关系分析的微观基础，还从数理和实证两方面证明了斯密分工思想的合理性，文章结论能够为"双循环"背景下空间经济问题的研究提供理论支撑。
The Impact of "Dual-circulation" Strategy on China's Regional Economic Pattern:Based on Smith's Division of Labor Theory
Under the background of "dual-circulation" strategy and guided by Smith's division of labor theory,this paper sets up a regional economic model with "dual-circulation" characteristics based on the inter-mediate input model of the new economic geography theory and the human capital model of the new growth theory. Also,the model absorbs the research results of the neoclassical theory on division of labor and integ-rates the congestion effect brought by land factors. On this basis,this paper deeply analyzes the driving forces behind the evolution of China's regional economic pattern,and explores the impact of the implementation of"dual-circulation" strategy on China's regional economic pattern through the numerical simulation and empir-ical test. It is found that:First,the development gap between coastal and inland regions will experience a pro-cess of rapid increase,rapid decrease,and slow increase. Although the gap will converge in the medium term,it will not disappear,even face a widening risk in the later stage. Second,the development gap between coastal and inland regions is closely related to the external and internal transaction efficiency of the two regions. Un-der the principle of division of labor,it will evolve into different regional industrial structures and lead to eco-nomic development gaps between regions. Third,the implementation of "dual-circulation" strategy mainly af-fects China's regional economic pattern from the perspective of transaction efficiency. The regional develop-ment gap in China will tend to narrow when following the environment of foreign trade protection policies,the improvement of domestic regional integration,and the decrease of inland foreign trade costs. The results indic-ate that the formation of China's regional economic pattern is the result of the evolution of regional division of labor under market competition,and is a manifestation of Smith's division of labor theory in the regional eco-nomy. This paper not only solidifies the micro foundation of regional economic relationship analysis,but also proves the rationality of Smith's division of labor theory from mathematical,empirical,and practical perspect-ives,which provides theoretical support for the study of spatial economic issues in the context of "dual circu-lation".

"dual-circulation" strategySmith's theoryregional economic patternNorth-South gapnew economic geography

刘军辉、张古、安虎森

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东北师范大学地理科学学院,吉林 长春 130024

兰州大学经济学院,甘肃 兰州 730000

南开大学经济研究所,天津 300071

"双循环"战略 斯密定理 区域经济格局 南北差距 新经济地理学

国家社会科学基金西部项目教育部人文社会科学研究规划基金中央高校基本科研业务费专项东北师范大学哲学社会科学中长期研究重大项目

22XJL01021YJA7900352412021QD01822FR006

2024

10.16538/j.cnki.jfe.20231121.401

财经研究
上海财经大学

财经研究

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子：3.539
ISSN：1001-9952
年,卷(期)：2024.50(3)
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