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中国新质生产力的增长模式、区域差异与协调发展

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新质生产力是推动高质量发展的新动能。文章在核算"三新"经济增加值的基础上,从效率视角测算了 2016-2022 年中国 30 个省份的新质生产力,并揭示了其增长模式、区域差异与协调发展状况。研究发现,在考察期内,中国新质生产力整体向好。文章从技术进步和技术效率维度来分解新质生产力,识别出以广东为代表的"同步增长"型、以海南为代表的"孕育孵化"型、以上海为代表的"技术驱动"型、以福建为代表的"引进吸收"型、以广西为代表的"潜力突破"型和以河南为代表的"模仿追赶"型六种新质生产力增长模式。在中美贸易摩擦爆发后,中国新质生产力的区域差异迅速扩大,整体呈现"东高西低"格局。其中,东北地区的内部差异最小并逐年缩小,而中部地区的内部差异最大并逐年扩大,且与其他地区之间的差异呈扩大趋势,区域内和区域间差异的叠加效应是中国新质生产力区域差异的主要来源。为此,推进实施"中部地区崛起"战略,发挥其对接、带动和辐射作用,将有效缩小新质生产力的区域差异。同时,合理控制和适度释放区域新质生产力的极化、回波和扩散效应,确保中低水平地区新质生产力跃迁,跨越中高水平地区发展陷阱,并保持高水平地区新质生产力的领先优势,将是中国新质生产力全面协调发展的关键。
The Growth Patterns,Regional Disparity,and Coordinated Development of China's New Quality Productive Forces
Developing new quality productive forces according to local conditions is a profound under-standing of China's national conditions and represents a new requirement for implementing the concept of co-ordinated development based on an emphasis on innovation.However,there is still a lack of understanding on the coordinated development issues during the formation and development of new quality productive forces,which is specifically manifested in the vagueness of its growth patterns,regional disparity,and coordinated de-velopment.This paper defines new quality productive forces from the perspective of the technological-economic paradigm.On the basis of accounting for the added value of the"three new"economies,it constructs an effi-ciency measurement framework to measure the new quality productive forces of China's 30 provinces from 2016 to 2022,and further reveals their growth patterns,regional disparity,and coordinated development.The study finds that the development trend of China's new quality productive forces continues to be positive.From the dimensions of technological progress and technical efficiency,six types of growth patterns of new quality productive forces are identified:"synchronous growth"type represented by Guangdong,"incubation and hatching"type represented by Hainan,"technology-driven"type represented by Shanghai,"introduction and absorption"type represented by Fujian,"potential breakthrough"type represented by Guangxi,and"imita-tion and catching up"type represented by Henan.After the outbreak of Sino-American trade frictions,region-al disparity in China's new quality productive forces has continued to expand,with the combined effect of in-tra-regional and inter-regional disparity being the main source.Reasonably controlling and moderately releas-ing the polarization,echo,and diffusion effects of regional new quality productive forces,ensuring the leap of new quality productive forces in medium-and low-level areas,preventing the development traps of medium-and high-level areas,and maintaining the leading advantages of high-level areas will be key to the compre-hensive and coordinated development of China's new quality productive forces.The contributions of this paper are as follows:First,it proposes a measurement framework for new qual-ity productive forces from the perspective of production efficiency,and identifies the growth patterns of new quality productive forces in each province based on the accurate measurement of new quality productive forces.Second,it accounts for the added value of the"three new"economies and incorporates it into the measurement framework of new quality productive forces to provide data support for accurately measuring new quality productive forces.Third,it reveals the regional disparity of new quality productive forces,as well as the impact of polarization,echo,and diffusion effects on coordinated development from a spatiotemporal dimension.

new quality productive forcesgrowth patternsregional disparitycoordinated development

孙亚男、刘燕伟、傅念豪、朱璐瑶

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山东财经大学 经济学院,山东 济南 250014

山东财经大学 中国经济研究院,山东 济南 250014

山东财经大学 中国国际低碳学院,山东 济南 250014

新质生产力 增长模式 区域差异 协调发展

国家社会科学基金项目

21BJL123

2024

财经研究
上海财经大学

财经研究

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:3.539
ISSN:1001-9952
年,卷(期):2024.50(6)
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