The"15th Five-Year Plan"period represents a critical juncture for China's economy as it transitions towards high-quality development,a transitional phase for achieving basic socialist modernization,and a strategic turning point for breaking through containment and enhancing international competitiveness comprehensively.Factors such as the slowing growth of labor supply and the deceleration of total factor productivity have contributed to a continued slowdown in global economic growth,alongside a rising public debt ratio.Despite these global trends,China is poised to become the largest contributor to global economic growth.Population growth is concentrated in Africa and South Asia,while East and Southeast Asia experience the fastest growth in the elderly population.The strategic rivalry between China and the United States has entered a particularly intense and critical phase,with the United States and the European Union continuing to push for"de-risking"measures against China.The situation in the Russia-Ukraine conflict remains a significant variable influencing the global geopolitical landscape.The global"vertical integration"production model is making a comeback,and the regionalization of industrial chains and supply chains is becoming more pronounced.Global trade growth is slowing down,with service trade expected to become the primary driver of global trade expansion.Fossil energy supply and demand are undergoing profound adjustments,and the global energy and critical mineral resource landscape is being reshaped at an accelerated pace.The acceleration of digital and intelligent transformations,driven by the iterative innovation of digital technologies,is reshaping the global economic and social order.
关键词
全球经济/中美中欧关系/产业链供应链/服务贸易/人工智能
Key words
Global Economy/U.S.-China Relations and EU-China Relations/Global Industrial and Supply Chains/Service Trade/Artificial Intelligence
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