财经智库2024,Vol.9Issue(3) :65-78.

"稳就业"才能"扩消费"——当前刺激消费的误区及稳消费的逻辑

Towards Stabilizing Employment to Expand Consumption

程锦锥 王宏淼
财经智库2024,Vol.9Issue(3) :65-78.

"稳就业"才能"扩消费"——当前刺激消费的误区及稳消费的逻辑

Towards Stabilizing Employment to Expand Consumption

程锦锥 1王宏淼1
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作者信息

  • 1. 中国社会科学院经济研究所 北京市西城区月坛北小街2号 100836
  • 折叠

摘要

本文描述了近年我国消费弱化的种种表现,辨析中国宏观政策的刺激消费误区,井深入分析了消费疲软的经济根源和逻辑,提出以"稳就业"为核心、三管齐下提振消费的政策思路.我国近年消费弱化的主因是经济弱、就业难、收入紧,这既有多种冲击叠加导致经济持续下滑的因素,也与强化行业管制及市场化改革滞后带来的社会就业创造能力下降有关.多种因素叠加促使居民消费能力下滑,信心持续不稳,甚至显现消费降级的风险.消费不是刺激出来的,而是内生的.要调整"刺激"思路,转向以"就业"为中心目标的经济政策,推动新一轮市场化改革,减少政府干预和降低宏观税负,增加工作机会,稳定收入和未来预期,才是促使消费回归常态和实现消费升级的根本之道.

Abstract

This paper examines the recent decline in consumer demand,critiques China's macroeconomic policies for their ineffectiveness in stimulating consumption,and suggests a policy pivot towards"Stabilizing Employment"as a comprehensive strategy to boost consumption.The main factors contributing to the consumption slump include a weak economy,a challenging job market,and constrained income,exacerbated by regulatory overreach and delayed market reforms.The paper argues for a paradigm shift from artificial stimulation to an endogenous approach,emphasizing market reforms,reduced government intervention,tax relief,job creation,and income stabilization to restore and enhance consumer confidence and spending.

关键词

稳就业/提振消费/市场化改革

Key words

Stabilizing Employment/Stimulating Consumption/Market-oriented Reform

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出版年

2024
财经智库

财经智库

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