The impact of twelve years of free education policy on intergenerational educational mobility
Based on the 1%Population Census sample survey data in 2015,this paper evaluates the impact of the twelve-year free education pilot policy on intergenerational educational mobility.We find that the likelihood of children from low-educated families obtaining a college education significantly in-creases compared to those from families with high education level.The gap in college education attainment probability between children whose parents have a bachelor degree and those whose parents only have a jun-ior school education has narrowed by 11.9 percentage.Direct tests of intergenerational educational mobility reveal that the twelve-year free education policy significantly enhances intergenerational educational mobili-ty,with a notable decline in the correlation of educational attainment across generations after the policy im-plementation,and a significant increase in the upward mobility of children from low-education families.Heterogeneity analysis indicates that the twelve-year free education policy has a more pronounced effect on promoting intergenerational educational mobility in low-income families and families in underdeveloped re-gions.Based on empirical findings,this paper suggests prioritizing the implementation of free high school education in underdeveloped regions,exploring free preschool education policies,and providing low-inter-est or interest-free student loans for high school education,and offering policy policy references for the subsequent promotion of free high school education or even compulsory high-school education at the na-tional level.
twelve years of free educationintergenerational educational mobilityupward intergenera-tional mobilitypolicy evaluation