首页|十二年免费教育政策对教育代际流动的影响

十二年免费教育政策对教育代际流动的影响

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本文基于2015年1%人口普查抽样调查数据,评估了十二年免费教育试点政策对教育代际流动性的影响.研究发现,相较于高学历家庭子女,十二年免费教育促使低学历家庭子女获得大学教育的可能性显著增加,表现为父母学历为本科和初中的子女之间获得大学教育的概率差距缩小了 11.9个百分点.对教育代际流动性进行直接检验,发现十二年免费教育政策显著提高了教育的代际流动性,政策实施后教育代际次序相关性显著下降,低学历家庭子女向上流动的可能性显著提高.异质性结果表明,十二年免费教育政策对促进低收入家庭和欠发达地区家庭的教育代际流动更为显著.在实证基础上,本文提出在欠发达地区优先推行高中免费教育,探索免费学前教育政策,提供低息或无息高中助学贷款等政策建议,为后续在全国层面推广高中免费教育甚至高中义务教育提供政策参考.
The impact of twelve years of free education policy on intergenerational educational mobility
Based on the 1%Population Census sample survey data in 2015,this paper evaluates the impact of the twelve-year free education pilot policy on intergenerational educational mobility.We find that the likelihood of children from low-educated families obtaining a college education significantly in-creases compared to those from families with high education level.The gap in college education attainment probability between children whose parents have a bachelor degree and those whose parents only have a jun-ior school education has narrowed by 11.9 percentage.Direct tests of intergenerational educational mobility reveal that the twelve-year free education policy significantly enhances intergenerational educational mobili-ty,with a notable decline in the correlation of educational attainment across generations after the policy im-plementation,and a significant increase in the upward mobility of children from low-education families.Heterogeneity analysis indicates that the twelve-year free education policy has a more pronounced effect on promoting intergenerational educational mobility in low-income families and families in underdeveloped re-gions.Based on empirical findings,this paper suggests prioritizing the implementation of free high school education in underdeveloped regions,exploring free preschool education policies,and providing low-inter-est or interest-free student loans for high school education,and offering policy policy references for the subsequent promotion of free high school education or even compulsory high-school education at the na-tional level.

twelve years of free educationintergenerational educational mobilityupward intergenera-tional mobilitypolicy evaluation

陈媛媛、宋扬

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上海财经大学,上海 200433

十二年免费教育 教育代际流动 代际向上流动 政策评估

2024

财贸研究
安徽财经大学

财贸研究

CSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:2.022
ISSN:1001-6260
年,卷(期):2024.35(12)