首页|"两业"融合能缓解服务业"成本病"吗?——基于动态SDM模型的检验

"两业"融合能缓解服务业"成本病"吗?——基于动态SDM模型的检验

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随着服务功能在现代制造业中的作用逐步凸显,产业之间的边界逐渐模糊,先进制造业与现代服务业融合发展成为促进经济增长的重要方式.文章利用随机前沿分析法和评价指标体系法计算30个省(区、市)2012-2021年服务业生产率和"两业"融合度,构建动态空间杜宾模型实证"两业"融合对服务业全要素生产率的直接作用与空间溢出.研究发现:样本期呈现出服务业比重不断提高而整体经济增速却不断趋缓的现象,或存在服务业"成本病"问题;"两业"融合对本地服务业全要素生产率的提升在短期内更为明显,对邻近地区的空间溢出长期来看作用更大;"两业"融合对东西部地区服务业生产率提升作用显著,主要通过技术效率改进和规模效应增加实现.
Can the Integration of Manufacturing and Services Alleviate the"Cost Disease"in the Service Sec-tor?―A Test Based on a Dynamic Spatial Durbin Model
As service functions increasingly play a pivotal role in modern manufacturing,the boundaries between industries are becoming blurred,and the Advanced Manufacturing and Modern Service Industry has emerged as a vital pathway for driving economic growth.This study utilizes Stochastic Frontier Analysis and an Evaluation In-dicator System to measure service industry productivity and the degree of manufacturing-service integration across 30 Chinese provinces from 2012 to 2021.A dynamic spatial Durbin model is employed to investigate the di-rect effects and spatial spillovers of such integration on total factor productivity(TFP)in the service sector.The findings reveal a persistent rise in the share of the service industry in the economy,coupled with slowing overall economic growth,reflecting the presence of a"cost disease"in the service sector.Manufacturing-service integra-tion significantly enhances local service sector TFP in the short term and exerts stronger long-term spatial spillover effects on neighboring regions.This integration is particularly effective in boosting productivity in both eastern and western regions,primarily through improvements in technical efficiency and scale effects.

manufacturing-service integrationservice industrymanufacturing industrytotal factor productivityspatial spillover

康思、潘海岚、Tingting Wang、Yunping Niu

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云南民族大学经济与管理学院

Renmin University of China

"两业"融合 服务业 制造业 全要素生产率 空间溢出

2024

城市观察
广州市社会科学界联合会

城市观察

CHSSCD
影响因子:0.591
ISSN:1674-7178
年,卷(期):2024.94(6)