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城市空间多风险耦合及规划的韧性应对

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随着城市人口与要素持续高密集聚,城市发展面临多风险耦合加剧的严峻挑战,城市风险迈向"3.0阶段",多风险耦合成为城市韧性领域的研究热点.基于未来城市发展挑战的现实背景,从多风险的特征情景、效应机制和规划实践等方面梳理多风险耦合的相关研究,总结规划经验,剖析多风险领域的研究趋势与热点.在此基础上,探索应对多风险耦合的城市韧性四大领域、长短周期、阈值以及层级传导等理论要点.构建应对多风险耦合的韧性空间规划编制框架,尝试提出城市空间规划的韧性要点.展望包括人工智能规划在内的未来规划编制的技术方向,期待对新时代建设韧性城市提供多风险的理论参考与方法指引.
Urban Multi-Risk Coupling and Resilient Responses Through Urban Planning
As cities continue to agglomerate,urban risk has moved to"3.0 stage,"challenged by intensified multi-risk coupling,where multi-risk coupling has become a research hotspot in the field of urban resilience.Addressing future urban develop-ment challenges,this paper examines multi-risk coupling through its characteristics,scenarios,effects,mechanisms,and corresponding planning responses.Drawing on a synthesis of relevant planning experiences and research trends,the paper explores four critical fields of urban resilience,long and short cycles,thresholds,and policy transmission mechanisms.Furthermore,the paper introduces a framework for resilient urban spatial planning,highlighting key aspects of urban resilience.Finally,it out-lines the technical directions of future planning,including the application of artificial intelligence,which provide theoretical references and methodological guidelines for building resilient cities in the new era.

urban multi-riskrisk couplingurban resiliencespatial planning

彭翀、左沛文、李月雯、张梦洁

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华中科技大学建筑与城市规划学院、自然资源部城市仿真重点实验室

华中科技大学建筑与城市规划学院

城市空间多风险 风险耦合 城市韧性 空间规划

2024

城市规划学刊
同济大学

城市规划学刊

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:3.822
ISSN:1000-3363
年,卷(期):2024.(5)