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三叉神经痛患者焦虑情况调查及其预测模型的建立

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目的 调查三叉神经痛患者焦虑情况,并建立其预测模型.方法 选择2019年2月至2023年12月达州市中西医结合医院接诊的302例三叉神经痛患者进行研究.患者以7:3比例分为模型组211例,验证组91例.收集患者基本情况、睡眠质量、社会支持、应对方式等可能影响三叉神经痛患者焦虑的相关因素,根据有无焦虑将模型组患者分为焦虑组与非焦虑组,比较两组患者各指标.以LASSO回归筛选出三叉神经痛患者焦虑潜在影响因素后行多因素Logistic回归,建立列线图模型并进行验证.结果 本研究模型组211例三叉神经痛患者中,63例(29.86%)出现焦虑情绪,焦虑组年龄、家庭月收入<3000元占比、非在婚占比、视觉模拟评分法(visual analogue scale,VAS)得分及匹兹堡睡眠质量指数(Pittsburgh sleep quality index,PSQI)得分均大于非焦虑组;初中学历及以下占比、疼痛神经支数单支占比、医保支付占比、病程<1年占比、每次疼痛持续时间<1min占比、发作频率<10次/d占比、社会支持评定量表(social support rating scale,SSRS)得分及积极应对占比均小于非焦虑组(P<0.05).LASSO回归基础上行多因素Logistic回归分析,结果显示:年龄、疼痛神经支数、病程、VAS、PSQI、SSRS为三叉神经痛患者焦虑状况的独立性因素(P<0.05).模型验证结果显示:①区分度:模型组受试者操作特征曲线(receiver operator characteristic curve,简称ROC曲线)下面积为0.832,95%CI为(0.766~0.897),敏感度为84.1%,特异度为75.0%;验证组ROC曲线下面积为0.786,95%CI为(0.716~0.855),敏感度为77.8%,特异度为68.9%;②准确度:模型组与验证组校准曲线斜率为1,截距为0.000,模型曲线与理想模型曲线基本拟合成对角线.临床有效性分析结果显示当预测概率阈值0.15~0.95时使用本研究模型预测三叉神经痛患者焦虑的净获益最高.结论 三叉神经痛患者焦虑情绪加重主要受年龄增加、疼痛神经支数增加、病程延长、VAS得分升高、PSQI评分升高、SSRS评分下降的影响,本研究建立的列线图模型可用于预测三叉神经痛患者焦虑风险.
Anxiety in patients with trigeminal neuralgia and the predictive modeling
Objective To investigate anxiety in patients with trigeminal neuralgia and to develop a predictive model for it. Method 302 patients with trigeminal neuralgia visited our hospital from February 2019 to December 2023 were selected for the study. The patients were divided into 211 cases in the model group and 91 cases in the validation group in a 7:3 ratio.Basic condition,sleep quality,social support,coping styles and other relevant factors that may affect the anxiety of patients with trigeminal neuralgia were collected. Additionally,patients in the model group were divided into anxious and non-anxious groups according to the presence or absence of anxiety. The indexes of the patients in the 2 groups were compared,and multifactorial logistic regression was carried out after the identification of potentially affecting factors using LASSO regression,and the columnar plot model was set up and verified. Result Of the 211 patients with trigeminal neuralgia in the model group,63 (29.86%) developed anxiety. The anxiety group had a greater age,proportion of monthly household income<3000 RMB,proportion of unmarried status,Visual Analogue Scale (VAS) score and Pittsburgh Sleep Quality Index (PSQI) score than the non-anxiety group. In the anxiety group,the proportions of junior high school education and lower,single painful nerve branches,health insurance payment,disease duration<1 year,each pain duration<1 min,episodes with a frequency of<10 episodes/d,social support rating scale (SSRS) scores,and positive coping styles were smaller than those of the non-anxiety group (P<0.05).The results of multifactorial logistic regression analysis performed on the basis of LASSO regression showed that age,painful nerve branches,disease duration,VAS,PSQI,and SSRS were independent factors of anxiety status in patients with trigeminal neuralgia (P<0.05). The results of model validation showed the following:The model group's performance was evaluated with an area under the ROC curve of 0.832,which had a 95% confidence interval (CI) of 0.766 to 0.897. It showed a sensitivity of 84.1% and a specificity of 75.0%. In comparison,the validation group had an area under the ROC curve of 0.786,with a 95% CI ranging from 0.716 to 0.855,a sensitivity of 77.8%,and a specificity of 68.9%. Calibration curves for both the model and validation groups had slopes of 1 and intercepts of 0.000,indicating that the model curves were essentially fitted to the ideal model on a diagonal. The clinical validity analysis showed that the model's net benefit for predicting anxiety in patients with trigeminal neuralgia was highest when the threshold for the predictive probability was set between 0.15 and 0.95. Conclusion Anxiety in patients with trigeminal neuralgia is mainly affected by increasing age,increased number of painful nerve branches,prolonged duration of the disease,higher VAS scores,higher PSQI scores,and lower SSRS scores. The column-line graphical model developed in this study can be used to predict the risk of anxiety in patients with trigeminal neuralgia.

Trigeminal neuralgiaAnxietyMultifactorial analysisColumnar graphical model

刘双

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达州市中西医结合医院 神经外科,四川 达州 635000

三叉神经痛 焦虑 多因素分析 列线图模型

2024

创伤与急诊电子杂志

创伤与急诊电子杂志

影响因子:0.305
ISSN:
年,卷(期):2024.12(2)