首页|美国货币政策不确定性对中国股票市场的非对称影响——基于混频数据的证据

美国货币政策不确定性对中国股票市场的非对称影响——基于混频数据的证据

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基于信息冲击视角,将美国货币政策不确定性分为利空信息和利好信息,使用上证综指5 min高频交易数据构建Realized GARCH模型和信息影响曲线,对中国股市的特征进行实证研究,结果发现中国股市具有非对称性,且利空信息对股市收益率波动的冲击大于利好信息.进一步构建GARCH-MIDAS-RV模型分析美国货币政策不确定性对上证综指收益率的影响,发现这种影响显著为负.此结论具有稳健性.
The Asymmetric Impact of U. S. Monetary Policy Uncertainty on the Chinese Stock Market:Evidence Based on Mixed-frequency Data
Based on the perspective of information shock,the uncertainty of U. S. monetary policy is devided into"bad news"and"good news",and the Realized GARCH model constructed by the 5 minute high-frequency trading data of the Shanghai Composite Index and the Information Impact Curve is used to analyze the characteristics of Chinese stock market. The empirical research shows that Chinese stock market is asymmetric,and bad news is greater than good news for the impact of the stock market returns. Further,the GARCH-MIDAS-RV model is used to analyze the impact of U. S. monetary policy uncertainty on the Chinese stock market,and it is found that the impact on the Shanghai Composite Index yield was significant-ly negative. The conclusion is robust.

news impact curveasymmetric characteristicsmixed-frequency datamonetary policy uncertainty

陈梦龙、吴志鹏、吴雯婷

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合肥经济学院金融学院,安徽 合肥 230036

信息影响曲线 非对称特征 混频数据 货币政策不确定性

2024

常州工学院学报
常州工学院

常州工学院学报

影响因子:0.274
ISSN:1671-0436
年,卷(期):2024.37(4)