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求解自回归模型参数的最小二乘法

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在自回归模型参数的解算中,针对增广矩阵中不同位置上同一观测值有不同的改正数这一问题,本文提出了AR模型参数估计的最小二乘法.首先对AR模型进行等价变换,重新组成新的函数模型,两次运用最小二乘方法分别求解误差矩阵与未知参数,最后给出了参数协因数阵的一阶近似估计公式.算例结果表明,本文方法在求解AR模型参数时具有可行性.采用本文方法,将总体最小二乘问题的求解转换为最小二乘问题,计算简单且易于编程实现.同时,该方法有效地减小了计算量,从而降低了求解的复杂程度.
The Least Squares Method for Solving Autoregressive Model Parameter
In the calculation of autoregressive model parameters,this paper proposes the least squares method for AR model parameter estimation to address the issue of different corrections for the same observation at different positions in the augmented matrix.Firstly,AR model is transformed equivalently,and a new function model is formed.Then,the error matrix and unknown parameters are solved by the successive least squares method.Finally,the first-order approximate estimation formula of the parameter cofactor matrix is giv-en.The results of simulated examples show that the method is feasible in solving AR model paremeters.By using this method,the so-lution of the total least squares problem is transformed into the least squares problem,which is simple to calculate and easy to pro-gram.At the same time,this method can effectively reduce the amount of computation,thus reducing the complexity of the solution.

autoregressive modelleast squarestotal least squaresparameter estimation

孙同贺、闫国庆

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内蒙古科技大学 矿业与煤炭学院,内蒙古 包头 014010

内蒙古科技大学实验室与设备管理处,内蒙古 包头 014010

自回归模型 最小二乘 总体最小二乘 参数估计

内蒙古自治区自然科学基金内蒙古自治区自然科学基金

2022LHMS040012018LH04004

2024

测绘与空间地理信息
黑龙江省测绘学会

测绘与空间地理信息

影响因子:0.788
ISSN:1672-5867
年,卷(期):2024.47(6)
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