New Quality Productivity, Rural Population Aging and Agricultural Green Growth
Green transformation of agricultural development is an effective way to break the constraints of resources and environment. Based on China's provincial panel data from 2012 to 2022, using differential GMM, panel threshold model and so on, this paper empirically tests the impact of new quality productivity and rural population aging on agricultural green growth. The study finds that new quality productivity significantly promotes agricultural green growth, while rural population aging significantly inhibits agricultural green growth. This conclusion is still valid under robustness tests such as considering endogeneity and replacing explained variables. Heterogeneity analysis shows that the new quality productivity in the three major regions of the eastern, central and western regions has a promoting effect on agricultural green growth. In terms of promotion, the central region is the largest and the eastern region is the smallest. The inhibitory effect of rural population aging on agricultural green growth is most significant in the eastern and central regions, but not significant in the western region.Further analysis shows that with the increase of agricultural green growth quantile, the promotion effect of new quality productivity on agricultural green growth increases, while the inhibition effect of rural population aging decreases gradually. Moreover, with the aggravation of rural population aging, the impact of new quality productivity on agricultural green growth shows a dynamic trend of 'promotion-inhibition-promotion'. In this regard, we should adhere to the efficient allocation of factors and the drive of scientific and technological innovation, and follow the principle of adapting to local conditions, steadily promote the development of new quality productivity in rural areas, and provide lasting kinetic energy for the green transformation of agriculture.
new quality productivityrural population agingagricultural green growthpanel threshold effect
万方数据
维普
