首页|绿色金融赋能农业高质量发展路径探索——基于门槛效应视角分析

绿色金融赋能农业高质量发展路径探索——基于门槛效应视角分析

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基于 2013-2022 年 31 个省份面板数据,通过杜宾效应模型与门槛模型,实证检验绿色金融对农业高质量发展影响的内在逻辑.结果表明:绿色金融贷款对高能耗产业实行"逆向控制",将"两高"产业"束之高阁",赋能产业结构升级优化,具有显著的"示范效应"和一定程度差异性;绿色融资结构对农业高质量发展聚集效应显著,能形成健康的外部"门槛效应",有效防止资金虹吸现象发生;从时间视角来看,绿色金融对农业高质量发展的影响呈正向边际效率递减的关系,"长尾效应"开始出现;从空间视角来看,八大经济区绿色金融呈东高西低的阶梯发展格局,农业绿色化正由长江和黄河流域向大西北区域延伸,"追赶效应"日益凸显.为此,从优化绿色金融要素配置、健全绿色金融生态系统、加强绿色金融顶层决策等方面提出了相关政策建议.
Exploring the Pathways of Green Finance-Enabled High-Quality Development of Agriculture:A Threshold Effect Perspective
Using panel data from 31 provinces from 2013 to 2022,this paper empirically tested the internal logic of the impact of green finance on high-quality agricultural development through Durbin effect model and threshold model.The results show that the green finance loans exert"reverse control"on high energy consumption industries,"shelving"the high-pollution and high-energy-consuming industries,thereby promoting the upgrade and optimization of the industrial structure.The green financing structure shows a significant"demonstration effect"and regional differences,and has an evident agglomeration effect on high-quality development of agriculture.It can also create a healthy external"threshold effect"that effectively prevents the siphoning of funds.From the perspective of time,the impact of green finance on the high-quality development of agriculture follows a positive relationship of diminishing marginal efficiency.From a spatial perspective,green finance in the eight major economic regions follows a stepwise development pattern,decreasing from east to west.Agricultural greening is extending from the Yangtze and Yellow River basins to the northwest,with the"catch-up effect"becoming increasingly prominent.Therefore,this paper proposed relevant policy suggestions,including optimizing the allocation of green finance elements,improving the green finance ecosystem,and strengthening top-level decision-making in green finance.

green financeagricultural industrial structurehigh-quality development

徐良志、李停、胡玉凤、张鑫

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铜陵学院经济学院

铜陵学院金融学院

铜陵学院数学与计算机学院

绿色金融 农业产业结构 高质量发展

2025

当代经济

当代经济

影响因子:0.37
ISSN:1007-9378
年,卷(期):2025.42(1)