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新质生产力:水平测度、时空演变与区域差异研究

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基于生产力的三大构成要素构建了综合评价指标体系,采用熵值法量化了 2011-2022 年中国 30 个省份的新质生产力水平,并运用Dagum基尼系数、探索性空间数据分析、Kernel密度估计和β收敛模型分析其区域差异和时空演进.研究发现:新质生产力整体呈积极增长,但区域间新质生产力发展不均衡,东部地区持续领先,而中西部及东北地区则显示出较大的增长潜力;在多维度发展中,生产资料对新质生产力的贡献最为显著,而劳动者质量提升空间较大;空间分析显示,新质生产力的空间分布趋于分散,且"低-高"集聚现象逐年增强;新质生产力存在正向收敛趋势,高生产力地区对周边有示范效应,但收敛速度相对较慢.
New Quality Productive Forces:Measurement,Spatiotemporal Dynamics,and Regional Disparities
A comprehensive evaluation index system was developed based on the three core components of productive forces,and the entropy method was employed to quantitatively assess the levels of new quality productive forces across 30 provinces in China from 2011 to 2022.Using Dagum's Gini coefficient,exploratory spatial data analysis(ESDA),Kernel density estimation,and the β-convergence model,this study examined regional disparities,spatiotemporal evolution,and convergence trends of new quality productive forces.The main findings are as follows:New quality productive forces demonstrate overall positive growth.However,significant regional imbalances persist.The eastern region maintains its leading position,while the central,western and northeastern regions exhibit substantial growth potential;Among the multidimensional contributors,means of production have the most substantial impact on new quality productive forces,while there remains significant room for improvement in labor quality;Spatial analysis reveals that the spatial distribution of new quality productive forces are becoming increasingly dispersed,with the"low-high"clustering phenomenon intensifying over time;A positive convergence trend is observed in new quality productive forces,wherein high-productivity regions exert a demonstrative effect on neighboring areas.However,the rate of convergence remains relatively slow.

new quality productive forcesregional disparitiesspatiotemporal evolutionentropy method

骆荣耀、李春浩、杨尊尊

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绍兴文理学院商学院

中南财经政法大学

绍兴文理学院人文学院

新质生产力 地区差异 时空演进 熵值法

2025

当代经济

当代经济

影响因子:0.37
ISSN:1007-9378
年,卷(期):2025.42(2)