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数字金融对新质生产力发展影响的空间溢出与时空异质性效应研究

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基于创新性、绿色化和数字化的视角阐述了数字金融影响新质生产力发展的作用机制,并利用我国 30 个省份 2011-2022 年的面板数据,考虑到数字金融和新质生产力的空间依赖性和地区发展的非平衡性,采用空间杜宾计量模型(SDM)和时空地理加权模型(GTWR)实证检验了数字金融对新质生产力发展的空间溢出与时空异质性效应.结果表明:数字金融和新质生产力存在显著的空间依赖性,呈现出高高集聚、低低集聚的空间格局;数字金融对本地新质生产力发展促进效应不明显,但周边地区的数字金融通过其溢出和辐射效应却能对本地新质生产力发展产生显著的促进作用;数字金融对新质生产力的影响存在明显的时空异质性,时间上数字金融对新质生产力的促进作用呈现出先增加而后减弱的倒"U"型演变趋势,空间分布上各地区数字金融对新质生产力的促进作用存在显著的差异,但该差异随时间正逐步变小.
Research on the Spatial Spillover and Spatiotemporal Heterogeneity Effects of Digital Finance on New Quality Productive Forces Development
This study explored the mechanism through which digital finance affects the development of new quality productive forces from the perspectives of innovation,greenness,and digitization.Considering spatial dependence and regional development imbalances.Using panel data of 30 provinces in China from 2011 to 2022,the study incorporated the Spatial Durbin Model(SDM)and the Geographically and Temporally Weighted Regression(GTWR)model to empirically analyze the spatial spillover effects and spatiotemporal heterogeneity of digital finance on new quality productive forces.The results demonstrate significant spatial interdependence between digital finance and new quality productive forces,characterized by a high-high and low-low clustering spatial pattern.While the direct impact of digital finance on local new quality productive forces development is limited,its spillover and radiation effects significantly enhance the productivity of neighboring regions.Additionally,the influence of digital finance on new quality productive forces exhibits distinct spatiotemporal heterogeneity.Temporally,the impact follows an inverted U-shaped trajectory,initially increasing and subsequently declining.Spatially,the effects vary significantly across regions,although these disparities have been narrowing over time.

digital financenew quality productive forcesspatial spillover effectsspatiotemporal heterogeneity

肖晓军、胡明琪

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赣南师范大学经济管理学院

数字金融 新质生产力 空间溢出效应 时空异质性

2025

当代经济

当代经济

影响因子:0.37
ISSN:1007-9378
年,卷(期):2025.42(2)