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数字经济对我国金融服务贸易出口影响的实证分析

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随着经济全球化的迅速发展,金融服务贸易国际竞争力已成为体现一个国家经济实力的主要指标之一,数字经济的快速发展对金融服务贸易产生较大影响.基于金融服务贸易等理论,运用国际市场占有率、TC指数、RCA指数等分析我国金融服务贸易的国际竞争力和现状,利用熵值法测算的数字经济水平分析对我国金融服务贸易出口总额的影响,并构建VAR模型,运用EVIEWS软件进行回归分析,采用最小二乘法估计、多重共线性检验等多种实证分析方法进行研究.实证结果表明,数字经济与金融服务贸易存在正相关关系,数字经济的发展促进金融服务贸易出口额增长.提出加大数字基础设施建设、完善金融市场监管体系、优化金融服务产品质量、制定科学人才培养机制等促进金融服务贸易数字化转型的政策建议.
An Empirical Analysis of the Impact of Digital Economy on China's Financial Service Trade Exports
With the rapid advancement of economic globalization,the international competitiveness of financial services trade has emerged as a key indicator of a country's economic strength.The accelerated development of the digital economy exerts a profound influence on financial services trade.Grounded in theories of financial services trade,this study evaluated the international competitiveness and current status of China's financial services trade by employing metrics such as international market share,the Trade Competitivenes(TC)index,and the Revealed Comparative Advantage(RCA)index.Additionally,the study used entropy method-derived digital economy indices to examine their impact on the total export volume of China's financial services trade.A Vector Auto-Regressive(VAR)model was constructed,and regression analyses were performed using EVIEWS software,incorporating empirical techniques such as least squares estimation and multicollinearity tests.The empirical results indicate a positive correlation between the development of the digital economy and financial services trade,suggesting that advancements in the digital economy significantly drive growth in financial services trade exports.Based on these findings,the paper proposed policy recommendations to facilitate the digital transformation of financial services trade.These include strengthening digital infrastructure development,enhancing financial market regulatory system,improving the quality of financial services products,and establishing robust talent training mechanisms.

digital economyfinancial services tradeinternational competitivenessentropy methodVAR model

刘旺霞

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湖北第二师范学院经济与管理学院,湖北市场主体活力研究中心

数字经济 金融服务贸易 国际竞争力 熵值法 VAR模型

2025

当代经济

当代经济

影响因子:0.37
ISSN:1007-9378
年,卷(期):2025.42(2)